LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency this summer after exercising his $52.6 million player option to complete the 2025-26 season with the Los Angeles Lakers, his eighth year in Los Angeles and 23rd NBA campaign overall. The Lakers hold Bird rights and can structure a deal around roster flexibility, supporting their 57.5% implied probability as the consensus favorite amid ongoing cap constraints and interest in retaining the veteran forward. Cleveland’s 30.5% share reflects longstanding hometown ties and potential for a return to the Cavaliers. Lower probabilities for the Timberwolves, Warriors, and Heat stem from salary-cap limitations, age-related roster fit questions, and limited recent trade or extension momentum following the Lakers’ playoff exit. Trader consensus prices these outcomes based on confirmed contract status and established team alignments rather than unverified speculation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNBA: LeBron James Next Team
Los Angeles Lakers 69%
Cleveland Cavaliers 36%
Golden State Warriors 19.2%
Sacramento Kings 7.9%
$26,730 Объем
$26,730 Объем
Los Angeles Lakers
57%
Cleveland Cavaliers
31%
Golden State Warriors
13%
Sacramento Kings
8%
San Antonio Spurs
6%
Los Angeles Clippers
4%
Dallas Mavericks
4%
Utah Jazz
3%
Boston Celtics
2%
New York Knicks
1%
Detroit Pistons
1%
Houston Rockets
1%
Philadelphia 76ers
1%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Washington Wizards
11%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers 69%
Cleveland Cavaliers 36%
Golden State Warriors 19.2%
Sacramento Kings 7.9%
$26,730 Объем
$26,730 Объем
Los Angeles Lakers
57%
Cleveland Cavaliers
31%
Golden State Warriors
13%
Sacramento Kings
8%
San Antonio Spurs
6%
Los Angeles Clippers
4%
Dallas Mavericks
4%
Utah Jazz
3%
Boston Celtics
2%
New York Knicks
1%
Detroit Pistons
1%
Houston Rockets
1%
Philadelphia 76ers
1%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Washington Wizards
11%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency this summer after exercising his $52.6 million player option to complete the 2025-26 season with the Los Angeles Lakers, his eighth year in Los Angeles and 23rd NBA campaign overall. The Lakers hold Bird rights and can structure a deal around roster flexibility, supporting their 57.5% implied probability as the consensus favorite amid ongoing cap constraints and interest in retaining the veteran forward. Cleveland’s 30.5% share reflects longstanding hometown ties and potential for a return to the Cavaliers. Lower probabilities for the Timberwolves, Warriors, and Heat stem from salary-cap limitations, age-related roster fit questions, and limited recent trade or extension momentum following the Lakers’ playoff exit. Trader consensus prices these outcomes based on confirmed contract status and established team alignments rather than unverified speculation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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