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Новый указ Трампа ограничит голосование до 31 марта?

Market icon

Новый указ Трампа ограничит голосование до 31 марта?

Да

31% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Да

31% chance
Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.

An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.

Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:

- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$234
Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken. An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections. Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include: - Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts. - Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas. - Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.

An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.

Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:

- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$234
Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken. An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections. Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include: - Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts. - Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas. - Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Новый указ Трампа ограничит голосование до 31 марта?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Новый указ Трампа ограничит право голоса до 31 марта?» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 26¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Новый указ Трампа ограничит голосование до 31 марта?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Feb 26, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Новый указ Трампа ограничит голосование до 31 марта?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Новый указ Трампа ограничит голосование до 31 марта?» — «Новый указ Трампа ограничит право голоса до 31 марта?» с 26%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Новый указ Трампа ограничит голосование до 31 марта?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.