Marine Le Pen holds the lead in trader consensus for France’s April 2027 presidential election, buoyed by her recent campaign launch and the Paris appeals court’s reduction of her office-holding ban following the embezzlement conviction. Recent Ipsos polling shows her capturing 33–35% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented rivals, as the National Rally benefits from voter frustration with the outgoing Macron administration’s record on debt, security, and EU policy. Édouard Philippe’s second-place positioning reflects centrist hopes for a unified challenge, yet efforts at alliance with Gabriel Attal and others have stalled, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon anchors the left at 15–17%. This split field keeps runoff qualification uncertain and sustains competitive pricing across leading contenders ahead of the first round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоDavid Lisnard faces challenge balancing presidential and AMF leadership campaigns
David Lisnard jumps to 7%5%
David Lisnard, while running for president, also sought re-election as president of the Association of Mayors of France, creating a complex dual campaign that limited his national visibility and market support.









































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