Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French presidential race in trader pricing and recent polling because her National Rally maintains a commanding first-round position of 32–36 percent amid voter polarization and dissatisfaction with the outgoing Macron administration. Édouard Philippe follows as the strongest centrist option when tested alone in the bloc, typically polling 14–19 percent, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon consolidates much of the left at 15–17 percent and reaches the runoff in multiple scenarios. Recent September polls from Ipsos, Harris Interactive, and OpinionWay confirm these patterns across varied candidate lineups, with Le Pen advancing comfortably in hypothetical runoffs. Fragmentation among centrist and socialist contenders continues to limit their individual shares, and no major new legal or campaign developments have shifted the ordering since Le Pen’s July candidacy declaration following her partial court reprieve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMarine Le Pen promises referendum on combating Islamist ideologies
Marine Le Pen rises to 36%1%
Marine Le Pen announced plans for a constitutional referendum focused on fighting Islamist ideologies, including measures on veils and mosques, reinforcing her campaign's hardline stance and maintaining her market position around 35%.









































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