Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa mayoral election, reflecting his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and incumbency advantages amid a sparse field and no public head-to-head polls. Challenger Kitchissippi Coun. Jeff Leiper, at 22.5%, draws support as a three-term progressive critiquing declines in city services like transit reliability, sidewalk maintenance, and garbage collection. Homebuilder Alex Lawson, declared January 23 with conservative backing emphasizing housing affordability and public safety, trails at 3.1%, while others like Catherine McKenney linger low. Nominations open May 1, potentially expanding the race as voters prioritize cost of living and transit per a January real estate survey.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Марк Сатклифф 60%
Джефф Лайпер 23%
Алекс Лоусон 8.9%
Кэтрин Маккенни 6.2%
Марк Сатклифф
60%
Джефф Лайпер
23%
Алекс Лоусон
9%
Кэтрин Маккенни
6%
Нил Сараванамутту
<1%
Марк Сатклифф 60%
Джефф Лайпер 23%
Алекс Лоусон 8.9%
Кэтрин Маккенни 6.2%
Марк Сатклифф
60%
Джефф Лайпер
23%
Алекс Лоусон
9%
Кэтрин Маккенни
6%
Нил Сараванамутту
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa mayoral election, reflecting his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and incumbency advantages amid a sparse field and no public head-to-head polls. Challenger Kitchissippi Coun. Jeff Leiper, at 22.5%, draws support as a three-term progressive critiquing declines in city services like transit reliability, sidewalk maintenance, and garbage collection. Homebuilder Alex Lawson, declared January 23 with conservative backing emphasizing housing affordability and public safety, trails at 3.1%, while others like Catherine McKenney linger low. Nominations open May 1, potentially expanding the race as voters prioritize cost of living and transit per a January real estate survey.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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