Skip to main content
Market icon
Выборы·Выборы мэра

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Выборы·Выборы мэра

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Марк Сатклифф 60%

Джефф Лайпер 22%

Алекс Лоусон 3.1%

Кэтрин Маккенни 1.6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Марк Сатклифф 60%

Джефф Лайпер 22%

Алекс Лоусон 3.1%

Кэтрин Маккенни 1.6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Выиграет ли Марк Сатклифф выборы мэра Оттавы в 2026 году? icon

Марк Сатклифф

$770 Объем

60%

Выиграет ли Джефф Лайпер выборы мэра Оттавы в 2026 году? icon

Джефф Лайпер

$942 Объем

22%

Выиграет ли Алекс Лоусон выборы мэра Оттавы в 2026 году? icon

Алекс Лоусон

$802 Объем

3%

Выиграет ли Кэтрин Маккенни выборы мэра Оттавы в 2026 году? icon

Кэтрин Маккенни

$841 Объем

2%

Выиграет ли Нил Сараванамутту выборы мэра Оттавы в 2026 году? icon

Нил Сараванамутту

$601 Объем

<1%

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe holds trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa municipal election, buoyed by his June 2025 re-election announcement, centrist governance record, and historical incumbency advantages in Canadian municipal races where challengers rarely prevail without unified opposition. Councillor Jeff Leiper, at 22.5%, leads challengers as a progressive critic of declining city services like garbage collection, sidewalk maintenance, and transit reliability, while home builder Alex Lawson trails at 3.1% emphasizing housing and public safety. Catherine McKenney's 5.2% reflects her strong 2022 showing but lack of declaration, with advisor Neil Saravanamuttoo (0.3%) exploring a bid. January surveys highlight housing affordability and cost of living as top issues; no candidate polls exist yet, with nominations opening May 1 potentially reshaping the field amid Lansdowne redevelopment controversies.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Объем
$3,956
Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe holds trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa municipal election, buoyed by his June 2025 re-election announcement, centrist governance record, and historical incumbency advantages in Canadian municipal races where challengers rarely prevail without unified opposition. Councillor Jeff Leiper, at 22.5%, leads challengers as a progressive critic of declining city services like garbage collection, sidewalk maintenance, and transit reliability, while home builder Alex Lawson trails at 3.1% emphasizing housing and public safety. Catherine McKenney's 5.2% reflects her strong 2022 showing but lack of declaration, with advisor Neil Saravanamuttoo (0.3%) exploring a bid. January surveys highlight housing affordability and cost of living as top issues; no candidate polls exist yet, with nominations opening May 1 potentially reshaping the field amid Lansdowne redevelopment controversies.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Объем
$3,956
Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Марк Сатклифф» с 60%, за ним следует «Джефф Лайпер» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 60¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 2, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner» — «Марк Сатклифф» с 60%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Джефф Лайпер» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.