Trader consensus in the Primeira Liga relegation playoff race clusters tightly around 32–39% implied probabilities for a dozen teams, driven by razor-thin margins in the table after 28 matchdays: Estrela da Amadora and Santa Clara sit on 28 points in 13th–14th, Nacional and Casa Pia hover at 25 in 15th–16th, while higher sides like Moreirense (36 pts), Vitória de Guimarães (35 pts), and Estoril (37 pts) remain vulnerable amid poor recent form heavy on draws. Nacional's 2-0 win over Estrela last weekend narrowed gaps without decisive separation, as Rio Ave (30 pts), Alverca, and Arouca (both 32 pts) also stumbled in draws or narrow losses. Promoted outfits Tondela (20 pts) and AVS (11 pts) fight on despite struggles, but managerial changes at Casa Pia, Santa Clara, and others inject uncertainty. With six matchdays left and similar schedule strengths, no team has pulled clear, fueling the even split.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭштрела да Амадора 78%
Тондела 77%
Витория Гимарайнш 77%
AVS 77%
Эштрела да Амадора
78%
Тондела
77%
Витория Гимарайнш
77%
AVS
77%
Морейренсе
76%
Эшторил-Прая
67%
Санта-Клара
67%
Риу Аве
67%
Насьонал
67%
Альверка
66%
Каза Пиа
64%
Арука
64%
Эштрела да Амадора 78%
Тондела 77%
Витория Гимарайнш 77%
AVS 77%
Эштрела да Амадора
78%
Тондела
77%
Витория Гимарайнш
77%
AVS
77%
Морейренсе
76%
Эшторил-Прая
67%
Санта-Клара
67%
Риу Аве
67%
Насьонал
67%
Альверка
66%
Каза Пиа
64%
Арука
64%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Primeira Liga relegation playoff race clusters tightly around 32–39% implied probabilities for a dozen teams, driven by razor-thin margins in the table after 28 matchdays: Estrela da Amadora and Santa Clara sit on 28 points in 13th–14th, Nacional and Casa Pia hover at 25 in 15th–16th, while higher sides like Moreirense (36 pts), Vitória de Guimarães (35 pts), and Estoril (37 pts) remain vulnerable amid poor recent form heavy on draws. Nacional's 2-0 win over Estrela last weekend narrowed gaps without decisive separation, as Rio Ave (30 pts), Alverca, and Arouca (both 32 pts) also stumbled in draws or narrow losses. Promoted outfits Tondela (20 pts) and AVS (11 pts) fight on despite struggles, but managerial changes at Casa Pia, Santa Clara, and others inject uncertainty. With six matchdays left and similar schedule strengths, no team has pulled clear, fueling the even split.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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