Trader consensus reflects a fiercely contested Primeira Liga relegation playoff race for 16th place, with Tondela (33%), Casa Pia (30.5%), and Nacional (30.5%) leading implied probabilities amid a bunched bottom table after 28-29 matchdays. Casa Pia holds 16th on 25 points from 28 games, tied with Nacional (15th, 25 points from 29), ahead of Tondela (17th, 21 points from 28), while Santa Clara and Estrela da Amadora sit on 28 points in 13th-14th. Recent results like Vitória de Guimarães' 5-0 thrashing of Tondela on April 3 and draws/low-scoring affairs have kept gaps minimal at 1-4 points, with 4-5 fixtures remaining including pivotal head-to-heads: Casa Pia vs. Santa Clara this weekend and Tondela vs. Nacional on April 26. Favorable run-ins and home form bolster Tondela's edge despite their deficit, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing upset potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТондела 65%
Каза Пиа 60%
Насьонал 60%
Витория Гимарайнш 59%
Тондела
65%
Каза Пиа
60%
Насьонал
60%
Витория Гимарайнш
59%
Эшторил-Прая
58%
Санта-Клара
57%
Морейренсе
57%
Арука
56%
AVS
55%
Альверка
54%
Эштрела да Амадора
44%
Риу Аве
20%
Тондела 65%
Каза Пиа 60%
Насьонал 60%
Витория Гимарайнш 59%
Тондела
65%
Каза Пиа
60%
Насьонал
60%
Витория Гимарайнш
59%
Эшторил-Прая
58%
Санта-Клара
57%
Морейренсе
57%
Арука
56%
AVS
55%
Альверка
54%
Эштрела да Амадора
44%
Риу Аве
20%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a fiercely contested Primeira Liga relegation playoff race for 16th place, with Tondela (33%), Casa Pia (30.5%), and Nacional (30.5%) leading implied probabilities amid a bunched bottom table after 28-29 matchdays. Casa Pia holds 16th on 25 points from 28 games, tied with Nacional (15th, 25 points from 29), ahead of Tondela (17th, 21 points from 28), while Santa Clara and Estrela da Amadora sit on 28 points in 13th-14th. Recent results like Vitória de Guimarães' 5-0 thrashing of Tondela on April 3 and draws/low-scoring affairs have kept gaps minimal at 1-4 points, with 4-5 fixtures remaining including pivotal head-to-heads: Casa Pia vs. Santa Clara this weekend and Tondela vs. Nacional on April 26. Favorable run-ins and home form bolster Tondela's edge despite their deficit, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing upset potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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