Strong critical reception following the Venice Film Festival premiere on September 5 has emerged as the main catalyst lifting trader expectations for "Primetime," pushing implied probabilities toward the 19-22m and 22m+ brackets. A24’s psychological thriller, starring Robert Pattinson as Chris Hansen in a dramatization of the "To Catch a Predator" era, earned a Metacritic score of 73 with praise for its sharp editing, tonal control, and Pattinson’s intense lead performance. These factors have shifted sentiment above earlier $10-15m tracking estimates, reflecting historical patterns where strong festival buzz and star-driven A24 titles exceed modest pre-release forecasts. With the wide theatrical release set for September 25, final presales, social engagement, and any late review aggregation shifts will likely determine whether the market’s higher-end consensus holds through opening weekend.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Прайм-тайм» Открытие Weekend Box Office
«Прайм-тайм» Открытие Weekend Box Office
22 млн+ 41%
19-22 млн 36%
16–19 млн 11.5%
13-16 млн 10.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
<10 млн
2%
10-13 млн
10%
13-16 млн
11%
16–19 млн
12%
19-22 млн
36%
22 млн+
41%
22 млн+ 41%
19-22 млн 36%
16–19 млн 11.5%
13-16 млн 10.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
<10 млн
$656 Объем
2%
10-13 млн
$758 Объем
10%
13-16 млн
$962 Объем
11%
16–19 млн
$601 Объем
12%
19-22 млн
$1,884 Объем
36%
22 млн+
$2,546 Объем
41%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong critical reception following the Venice Film Festival premiere on September 5 has emerged as the main catalyst lifting trader expectations for "Primetime," pushing implied probabilities toward the 19-22m and 22m+ brackets. A24’s psychological thriller, starring Robert Pattinson as Chris Hansen in a dramatization of the "To Catch a Predator" era, earned a Metacritic score of 73 with praise for its sharp editing, tonal control, and Pattinson’s intense lead performance. These factors have shifted sentiment above earlier $10-15m tracking estimates, reflecting historical patterns where strong festival buzz and star-driven A24 titles exceed modest pre-release forecasts. With the wide theatrical release set for September 25, final presales, social engagement, and any late review aggregation shifts will likely determine whether the market’s higher-end consensus holds through opening weekend.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Объем
$7,407Дата окончания
27 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong critical reception following the Venice Film Festival premiere on September 5 has emerged as the main catalyst lifting trader expectations for "Primetime," pushing implied probabilities toward the 19-22m and 22m+ brackets. A24’s psychological thriller, starring Robert Pattinson as Chris Hansen in a dramatization of the "To Catch a Predator" era, earned a Metacritic score of 73 with praise for its sharp editing, tonal control, and Pattinson’s intense lead performance. These factors have shifted sentiment above earlier $10-15m tracking estimates, reflecting historical patterns where strong festival buzz and star-driven A24 titles exceed modest pre-release forecasts. With the wide theatrical release set for September 25, final presales, social engagement, and any late review aggregation shifts will likely determine whether the market’s higher-end consensus holds through opening weekend.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$7,407Дата окончания
27 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Strong critical reception following the Venice Film Festival premiere on September 5 has emerged as the main catalyst lifting trader expectations for "Primetime," pushing implied probabilities toward the 19-22m and 22m+ brackets. A24’s psychological thriller, starring Robert Pattinson as Chris Hansen in a dramatization of the "To Catch a Predator" era, earned a Metacritic score of 73 with praise for its sharp editing, tonal control, and Pattinson’s intense lead performance. These factors have shifted sentiment above earlier $10-15m tracking estimates, reflecting historical patterns where strong festival buzz and star-driven A24 titles exceed modest pre-release forecasts. With the wide theatrical release set for September 25, final presales, social engagement, and any late review aggregation shifts will likely determine whether the market’s higher-end consensus holds through opening weekend.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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