Market icon

Победитель парламентских выборов в Южной Австралии

Market icon

Победитель парламентских выборов в Южной Австралии

Лейбористы 97.9%

Одна нация 1.4%

Либеральная <1%

Зеленые <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Лейбористы 97.9%

Одна нация 1.4%

Либеральная <1%

Зеленые <1%

Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

Лейбористы

$2,702 Объем

98%

Market icon

Либеральная

$734 Объем

1%

Market icon

Одна нация

$877 Объем

1%

Market icon

Зеленые

$1,029 Объем

1%

The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.

The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/).

Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.
Объем
$5,343
Дата окончания
Mar 21, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.
The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель парламентских выборов в Южной Австралии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Лейбористы» с 98%, за ним следует «Либеральная» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель парламентских выборов в Южной Австралии» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель парламентских выборов в Южной Австралии», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель парламентских выборов в Южной Австралии» — «Лейбористы» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Либеральная» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель парламентских выборов в Южной Австралии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.