The recent FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% target range, with projections showing a median 4.1% rate through 2027 and elevated PCE inflation at 3.7% for 2026, stands as the dominant influence on S&P 500 sentiment. Resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, unemployment around 4.1%, and robust corporate earnings—particularly from AI-driven capital spending—have supported the index near 7,650 amid a modest pullback from August highs above 7,800. Higher Treasury yields and tighter policy expectations are pressuring valuations, while upcoming CPI releases, employment data, and the December FOMC meeting could shift rate-path implied probabilities and equity multiples before year-end resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?
Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?
$372,285 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8 600
9%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
45%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
26%
↓ $6,200
13%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ $5 800
7%
↓ $5 200
4%
↓ $4,500
4%
$372,285 Объем
↑ $10,000
$446 Объем
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 Объем
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Объем
11%
↑ $8 600
$31,871 Объем
9%
↑ $8,200
$23,939 Объем
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Объем
45%
↓ $7,400
$81 Объем
66%
↓ $7,200
$415 Объем
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Объем
26%
↓ $6,200
$60,226 Объем
13%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Объем
9%
↓ $5 800
$44,511 Объем
7%
↓ $5 200
$70,295 Объем
4%
↓ $4,500
$62,517 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The recent FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% target range, with projections showing a median 4.1% rate through 2027 and elevated PCE inflation at 3.7% for 2026, stands as the dominant influence on S&P 500 sentiment. Resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, unemployment around 4.1%, and robust corporate earnings—particularly from AI-driven capital spending—have supported the index near 7,650 amid a modest pullback from August highs above 7,800. Higher Treasury yields and tighter policy expectations are pressuring valuations, while upcoming CPI releases, employment data, and the December FOMC meeting could shift rate-path implied probabilities and equity multiples before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Объем
$372,285Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The recent FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% target range, with projections showing a median 4.1% rate through 2027 and elevated PCE inflation at 3.7% for 2026, stands as the dominant influence on S&P 500 sentiment. Resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, unemployment around 4.1%, and robust corporate earnings—particularly from AI-driven capital spending—have supported the index near 7,650 amid a modest pullback from August highs above 7,800. Higher Treasury yields and tighter policy expectations are pressuring valuations, while upcoming CPI releases, employment data, and the December FOMC meeting could shift rate-path implied probabilities and equity multiples before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Объем
$372,285Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The recent FOMC decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% target range, with projections showing a median 4.1% rate through 2027 and elevated PCE inflation at 3.7% for 2026, stands as the dominant influence on S&P 500 sentiment. Resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, unemployment around 4.1%, and robust corporate earnings—particularly from AI-driven capital spending—have supported the index near 7,650 amid a modest pullback from August highs above 7,800. Higher Treasury yields and tighter policy expectations are pressuring valuations, while upcoming CPI releases, employment data, and the December FOMC meeting could shift rate-path implied probabilities and equity multiples before year-end resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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