The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026, supported by upward revisions to 2026 earnings growth expectations now exceeding 25% year-over-year, driven primarily by AI-related capital spending and revenue at technology leaders. Elevated valuations, with forward P/E ratios around 20-22x amid 10-year Treasury yields near recent highs, reflect trader focus on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and persistent inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve communications and a September rate increase have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, while upcoming October data releases on employment, CPI, and the late-month FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and index direction through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?
Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?
$372,645 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8 600
9%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
67%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ $6,200
13%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ $5 800
7%
↓ $5 200
4%
↓ $4,500
4%
$372,645 Объем
↑ $10,000
$446 Объем
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 Объем
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Объем
11%
↑ $8 600
$31,871 Объем
9%
↑ $8,200
$23,939 Объем
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Объем
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 Объем
67%
↓ $7,200
$415 Объем
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Объем
25%
↓ $6,200
$60,586 Объем
13%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Объем
9%
↓ $5 800
$44,511 Объем
7%
↓ $5 200
$70,295 Объем
4%
↓ $4,500
$62,517 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026, supported by upward revisions to 2026 earnings growth expectations now exceeding 25% year-over-year, driven primarily by AI-related capital spending and revenue at technology leaders. Elevated valuations, with forward P/E ratios around 20-22x amid 10-year Treasury yields near recent highs, reflect trader focus on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and persistent inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve communications and a September rate increase have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, while upcoming October data releases on employment, CPI, and the late-month FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and index direction through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Объем
$372,645Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026, supported by upward revisions to 2026 earnings growth expectations now exceeding 25% year-over-year, driven primarily by AI-related capital spending and revenue at technology leaders. Elevated valuations, with forward P/E ratios around 20-22x amid 10-year Treasury yields near recent highs, reflect trader focus on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and persistent inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve communications and a September rate increase have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, while upcoming October data releases on employment, CPI, and the late-month FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and index direction through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Объем
$372,645Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 as of mid-September 2026, supported by upward revisions to 2026 earnings growth expectations now exceeding 25% year-over-year, driven primarily by AI-related capital spending and revenue at technology leaders. Elevated valuations, with forward P/E ratios around 20-22x amid 10-year Treasury yields near recent highs, reflect trader focus on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and persistent inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve communications and a September rate increase have reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path, while upcoming October data releases on employment, CPI, and the late-month FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and index direction through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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