Market icon
Политика·SCOTUS

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Market icon
Политика·SCOTUS

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

33% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
33% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Supreme Court's April 6 order, prodded by the Trump administration's Justice Department, vacated a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction for defying the January 6 committee subpoena, clearing a path for potential dismissal of the case in lower court. Bannon completed his four-month sentence in October 2024 after appeals failed until the new DOJ shifted course post-Trump's inauguration. Trader consensus favors "No" at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting procedural uncertainties in district court—including judge discretion on dismissal motions—and the tight timeline before April 30 resolution, despite the symbolic reversal tied to the administration's review of prior prosecutions. No pardon has been issued for this federal matter.

On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,389
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Supreme Court's April 6 order, prodded by the Trump administration's Justice Department, vacated a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction for defying the January 6 committee subpoena, clearing a path for potential dismissal of the case in lower court. Bannon completed his four-month sentence in October 2024 after appeals failed until the new DOJ shifted course post-Trump's inauguration. Trader consensus favors "No" at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting procedural uncertainties in district court—including judge discretion on dismissal motions—and the tight timeline before April 30 resolution, despite the symbolic reversal tied to the administration's review of prior prosecutions. No pardon has been issued for this federal matter.

On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,389
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 33% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 33¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 33%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 6, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?» составляет 33% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 33%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.