SpaceX plans to demonstrate in-orbit propellant transfer in 2026 using two Starships—one acting as a depot target and the other as a tanker chaser—requiring automated rendezvous, docking via specialized couplers, and cryogenic fluid transfer. Flight 13’s July 2026 success, with precise trajectory control, Starlink V3 deployment, and an intact reentry, has strengthened confidence in the vehicle’s guidance systems needed for close-proximity operations. Flight 14, targeted for late August or shortly after, aims for the first orbital insertion and tower catch, clearing key hurdles before the dedicated refueling pair launches weeks apart. These milestones tie directly to NASA Artemis timelines, where repeated docking and refueling are prerequisites for lunar missions. Trader sentiment reflects steady technical progress offset by the unproven nature of large-scale cryogenic docking at orbital speeds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
$59,990 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
12%
31 декабря 2027 года
54%
$59,990 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$38,867 Объем
12%
31 декабря 2027 года
$21,123 Объем
54%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX plans to demonstrate in-orbit propellant transfer in 2026 using two Starships—one acting as a depot target and the other as a tanker chaser—requiring automated rendezvous, docking via specialized couplers, and cryogenic fluid transfer. Flight 13’s July 2026 success, with precise trajectory control, Starlink V3 deployment, and an intact reentry, has strengthened confidence in the vehicle’s guidance systems needed for close-proximity operations. Flight 14, targeted for late August or shortly after, aims for the first orbital insertion and tower catch, clearing key hurdles before the dedicated refueling pair launches weeks apart. These milestones tie directly to NASA Artemis timelines, where repeated docking and refueling are prerequisites for lunar missions. Trader sentiment reflects steady technical progress offset by the unproven nature of large-scale cryogenic docking at orbital speeds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Объем
$59,990Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX plans to demonstrate in-orbit propellant transfer in 2026 using two Starships—one acting as a depot target and the other as a tanker chaser—requiring automated rendezvous, docking via specialized couplers, and cryogenic fluid transfer. Flight 13’s July 2026 success, with precise trajectory control, Starlink V3 deployment, and an intact reentry, has strengthened confidence in the vehicle’s guidance systems needed for close-proximity operations. Flight 14, targeted for late August or shortly after, aims for the first orbital insertion and tower catch, clearing key hurdles before the dedicated refueling pair launches weeks apart. These milestones tie directly to NASA Artemis timelines, where repeated docking and refueling are prerequisites for lunar missions. Trader sentiment reflects steady technical progress offset by the unproven nature of large-scale cryogenic docking at orbital speeds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$59,990Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX plans to demonstrate in-orbit propellant transfer in 2026 using two Starships—one acting as a depot target and the other as a tanker chaser—requiring automated rendezvous, docking via specialized couplers, and cryogenic fluid transfer. Flight 13’s July 2026 success, with precise trajectory control, Starlink V3 deployment, and an intact reentry, has strengthened confidence in the vehicle’s guidance systems needed for close-proximity operations. Flight 14, targeted for late August or shortly after, aims for the first orbital insertion and tower catch, clearing key hurdles before the dedicated refueling pair launches weeks apart. These milestones tie directly to NASA Artemis timelines, where repeated docking and refueling are prerequisites for lunar missions. Trader sentiment reflects steady technical progress offset by the unproven nature of large-scale cryogenic docking at orbital speeds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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