Martín Zubimendi enters the final stages of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League with only four yellow cards across 12 appearances and roughly 967 minutes for Arsenal, placing him well behind frontrunners who have accumulated more cautions through higher foul rates or extended playing time. As a central midfielder in a possession-oriented side, his disciplined positioning and lower volume of defensive challenges limit opportunities for bookings compared to more physical counterparts in deeper runs. The 0.1% implied probability reflects trader consensus on these structural disadvantages, though a late surge in high-stakes matches could theoretically narrow the gap if rivals receive suspensions or reduced minutes.