Market icon
Экономика·Корпус

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Экономика·Корпус

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

<1.17m 46%

1.17 - 1.18m 46%

1.18 - 1.19m 46%

1.19 - 1.2m 46%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1.17m 46%

1.17 - 1.18m 46%

1.18 - 1.19m 46%

1.19 - 1.2m 46%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1.17m

$0 Объем

46%

1.17 - 1.18m

$0 Объем

46%

1.18 - 1.19m

$0 Объем

46%

1.19 - 1.2m

$0 Объем

46%

1.2 - 1.21m

$0 Объем

46%

1.21 - 1.22m

$0 Объем

46%

>1.22m

$0 Объем

46%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders express balanced uncertainty with 45.5% implied probabilities across all bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30, reflecting a closely contested outlook centered around $1.17-1.22 million. February 2026 data from Zillow's Home Value Index and Redfin median sale prices showed year-over-year declines of 1-5% for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area, driven by modestly rising inventory (up slightly month-over-month) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates suppressing demand. Persistent low supply and robust local employment provide counterbalance, creating equilibrium. Key differentiators: March housing data releases mid-April and potential Fed rate guidance, alongside spring buying momentum, could sway the trajectory amid stable national forecasts of 0.7% annual home value growth.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders express balanced uncertainty with 45.5% implied probabilities across all bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30, reflecting a closely contested outlook centered around $1.17-1.22 million. February 2026 data from Zillow's Home Value Index and Redfin median sale prices showed year-over-year declines of 1-5% for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area, driven by modestly rising inventory (up slightly month-over-month) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates suppressing demand. Persistent low supply and robust local employment provide counterbalance, creating equilibrium. Key differentiators: March housing data releases mid-April and potential Fed rate guidance, alongside spring buying momentum, could sway the trajectory amid stable national forecasts of 0.7% annual home value growth.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<1.17m» с 46%, за ним следует «1.17 - 1.18m» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 46¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?» — «<1.17m» с 46%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1.17 - 1.18m» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.