Recent polling from sources including Pew, Yale Youth Poll, and Third Way shows Democrats holding a substantial lead over Republicans in generic congressional ballot tests among young men ages 18-29, often by double-digit margins among likely voters, consistent with the market's 71% pricing for Democrats. This positioning reflects a post-2024 reversal, as dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's economic performance and job approval has driven shifts back toward Democrats among this cohort, narrowing but not erasing earlier Republican gains. Low enthusiasm and turnout volatility remain factors that could compress margins, yet current data on registered and likely young male voters continue to favor Democratic candidates in the November 2026 midterms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократы
73%
Республиканцы
47%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократы
$0 Объем
73%
Республиканцы
$0 Объем
47%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling from sources including Pew, Yale Youth Poll, and Third Way shows Democrats holding a substantial lead over Republicans in generic congressional ballot tests among young men ages 18-29, often by double-digit margins among likely voters, consistent with the market's 71% pricing for Democrats. This positioning reflects a post-2024 reversal, as dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's economic performance and job approval has driven shifts back toward Democrats among this cohort, narrowing but not erasing earlier Republican gains. Low enthusiasm and turnout volatility remain factors that could compress margins, yet current data on registered and likely young male voters continue to favor Democratic candidates in the November 2026 midterms.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling from sources including Pew, Yale Youth Poll, and Third Way shows Democrats holding a substantial lead over Republicans in generic congressional ballot tests among young men ages 18-29, often by double-digit margins among likely voters, consistent with the market's 71% pricing for Democrats. This positioning reflects a post-2024 reversal, as dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's economic performance and job approval has driven shifts back toward Democrats among this cohort, narrowing but not erasing earlier Republican gains. Low enthusiasm and turnout volatility remain factors that could compress margins, yet current data on registered and likely young male voters continue to favor Democratic candidates in the November 2026 midterms.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from sources including Pew, Yale Youth Poll, and Third Way shows Democrats holding a substantial lead over Republicans in generic congressional ballot tests among young men ages 18-29, often by double-digit margins among likely voters, consistent with the market's 71% pricing for Democrats. This positioning reflects a post-2024 reversal, as dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's economic performance and job approval has driven shifts back toward Democrats among this cohort, narrowing but not erasing earlier Republican gains. Low enthusiasm and turnout volatility remain factors that could compress margins, yet current data on registered and likely young male voters continue to favor Democratic candidates in the November 2026 midterms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы