Amid stalled US-Iran peace talks following the failed marathon session in Islamabad on April 11-12, diplomats via Pakistan are arranging a second round before the April 22 ceasefire deadline, with the US enforcing a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz and imposing fresh sanctions on Iranian oil networks. President Trump's special Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff leads trader consensus at 82% implied probability to hold a diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials by April 30, buoyed by his central role in prior negotiations and recent signals of empowered delegations, ahead of VP JD Vance (75%) and Jared Kushner (75%). Uncertainty lingers from intra-regime Iranian divisions and escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
$117,111 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
Дональд Трамп
5%
Джей Ди Ванс
76%
Марко Рубио
9%
Джаред Кушнер
80%
Стив Уиткофф
82%
$117,111 Объем
Дональд Трамп
$97,295 Объем
5%
Джей Ди Ванс
$7,880 Объем
76%
Марко Рубио
$5,431 Объем
9%
Джаред Кушнер
$2,490 Объем
80%
Стив Уиткофф
$4,016 Объем
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid stalled US-Iran peace talks following the failed marathon session in Islamabad on April 11-12, diplomats via Pakistan are arranging a second round before the April 22 ceasefire deadline, with the US enforcing a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz and imposing fresh sanctions on Iranian oil networks. President Trump's special Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff leads trader consensus at 82% implied probability to hold a diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials by April 30, buoyed by his central role in prior negotiations and recent signals of empowered delegations, ahead of VP JD Vance (75%) and Jared Kushner (75%). Uncertainty lingers from intra-regime Iranian divisions and escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Объем
$117,111Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid stalled US-Iran peace talks following the failed marathon session in Islamabad on April 11-12, diplomats via Pakistan are arranging a second round before the April 22 ceasefire deadline, with the US enforcing a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz and imposing fresh sanctions on Iranian oil networks. President Trump's special Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff leads trader consensus at 82% implied probability to hold a diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials by April 30, buoyed by his central role in prior negotiations and recent signals of empowered delegations, ahead of VP JD Vance (75%) and Jared Kushner (75%). Uncertainty lingers from intra-regime Iranian divisions and escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$117,111Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid stalled US-Iran peace talks following the failed marathon session in Islamabad on April 11-12, diplomats via Pakistan are arranging a second round before the April 22 ceasefire deadline, with the US enforcing a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz and imposing fresh sanctions on Iranian oil networks. President Trump's special Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff leads trader consensus at 82% implied probability to hold a diplomatic meeting with Iranian officials by April 30, buoyed by his central role in prior negotiations and recent signals of empowered delegations, ahead of VP JD Vance (75%) and Jared Kushner (75%). Uncertainty lingers from intra-regime Iranian divisions and escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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