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icon for Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?

Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?

icon for Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?

Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?

7% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
7% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**100 Thieves' Valorant roster, assembled in November 2025 with Asuna, Cryocells, Timotino, vora, and bang, has remained intact through the early 2026 VCT Americas schedule.** The organization completed its 2026 lineup late last year following prior adjustments, and no official announcements, contract disputes, or performance-driven moves have surfaced in the past several months. Recent match results and team updates show continuity rather than upheaval, with the core group competing in Stage 1 events without reported injuries, suspensions, or benchings that typically prompt mid-season changes. In the VCT ecosystem, roster stability is common once a competitive unit is locked in for the year, especially absent major slumps or external factors like free-agency windows. Trader consensus reflects this lack of catalysts, pricing a roster alteration before September as highly unlikely given the current stability and absence of breaking developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count.

A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$650
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**100 Thieves' Valorant roster, assembled in November 2025 with Asuna, Cryocells, Timotino, vora, and bang, has remained intact through the early 2026 VCT Americas schedule.** The organization completed its 2026 lineup late last year following prior adjustments, and no official announcements, contract disputes, or performance-driven moves have surfaced in the past several months. Recent match results and team updates show continuity rather than upheaval, with the core group competing in Stage 1 events without reported injuries, suspensions, or benchings that typically prompt mid-season changes. In the VCT ecosystem, roster stability is common once a competitive unit is locked in for the year, especially absent major slumps or external factors like free-agency windows. Trader consensus reflects this lack of catalysts, pricing a roster alteration before September as highly unlikely given the current stability and absence of breaking developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count.

A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$650
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 7% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 7¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 7%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?» составляет 7% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 7%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Изменится ли список «100 воров» до сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.