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icon for Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?

Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?

icon for Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?

Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$8,186 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$8,186 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.100 Thieves' CS2 roster, rebuilt in January 2026 around dev1ce, rain, Ag1l, sirah, and poiii under head coach gla1ve, has faced early international competition pressures that often prompt mid-season adjustments in esports. Recent VCT-adjacent results and integration challenges for the international lineup have fueled trader expectations of potential benchings or trades before the August window, especially given historical patterns where new squads tweak lineups after initial slumps. The 65% implied probability for a change reflects crowd consensus on performance-driven moves, though stable official reports and the absence of major injuries or contract issues keep the outcome contested.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,186
Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

hltv.org
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.100 Thieves' CS2 roster, rebuilt in January 2026 around dev1ce, rain, Ag1l, sirah, and poiii under head coach gla1ve, has faced early international competition pressures that often prompt mid-season adjustments in esports. Recent VCT-adjacent results and integration challenges for the international lineup have fueled trader expectations of potential benchings or trades before the August window, especially given historical patterns where new squads tweak lineups after initial slumps. The 65% implied probability for a change reflects crowd consensus on performance-driven moves, though stable official reports and the absence of major injuries or contract issues keep the outcome contested.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,186
Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

hltv.org
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Изменится ли состав 100T до августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.