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icon for Объявит ли AOC баллотироваться в Сенат или на пост президента до 2028 года?
Политика·Александрия Окасио-Кортес

Объявит ли AOC баллотироваться в Сенат или на пост президента до 2028 года?

icon for Объявит ли AOC баллотироваться в Сенат или на пост президента до 2028 года?
Политика·Александрия Окасио-Кортес

Объявит ли AOC баллотироваться в Сенат или на пост президента до 2028 года?

Президент 60%

Сенат 38%

Ни то, ни другое 2.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Президент 60%

Сенат 38%

Ни то, ни другое 2.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Президент

$375 Объем

60%

Сенат

$620 Объем

38%

Ни то, ни другое

$331 Объем

3%

This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has kept both a 2028 presidential bid and a challenge to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer open following her August 2026 comments on ABC's This Week, where she stated she has not ruled out either option while prioritizing midterm victories and her House reelection. This stance, combined with her strong polling leads in hypothetical Democratic presidential primaries and surveys showing her ahead of Schumer in a New York Senate primary, has shaped trader consensus favoring a presidential announcement before 2028. Her national profile as a prominent progressive voice, fundraising strength, and endorsements from left-leaning groups further support positioning for the White House over a narrower Senate contest, though no formal declaration has occurred and outcomes remain subject to shifting party dynamics.

This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.

If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,326
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has kept both a 2028 presidential bid and a challenge to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer open following her August 2026 comments on ABC's This Week, where she stated she has not ruled out either option while prioritizing midterm victories and her House reelection. This stance, combined with her strong polling leads in hypothetical Democratic presidential primaries and surveys showing her ahead of Schumer in a New York Senate primary, has shaped trader consensus favoring a presidential announcement before 2028. Her national profile as a prominent progressive voice, fundraising strength, and endorsements from left-leaning groups further support positioning for the White House over a narrower Senate contest, though no formal declaration has occurred and outcomes remain subject to shifting party dynamics.

This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.

If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,326
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Связанные

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Да
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Объявит ли AOC баллотироваться в Сенат или на пост президента до 2028 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Президент» с 60%, за ним следует «Сенат» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 60¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Объявит ли AOC баллотироваться в Сенат или на пост президента до 2028 года?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Текущий фаворит для «Объявит ли AOC баллотироваться в Сенат или на пост президента до 2028 года?» — «Президент» с 60%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Сенат» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Объявит ли AOC баллотироваться в Сенат или на пост президента до 2028 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.