Market icon

Изменится ли состав Astralis до июля?

Market icon

Изменится ли состав Astralis до июля?

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Astralis's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Astralis" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6665/astralis#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: HooXi, phzy, jabbi, Staehr, and ryu. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Astralis' roster—HooXi, phzy, jabbi, Staehr, and ryu—has remained stable since its January rebuild with phzy and ryu signings following device and Magisk's December exits, fueling the closely contested 50.5% Yes probability as traders weigh CS2's volatile rostermania against the team's top-10 HLTV ranking and strong PGL Bucharest form, including a perfect 3-0 Swiss stage run past B8 and The MongolZ to secure playoffs. No rumors have surfaced in the past month amid consistent Valve ranking contention around 1700+ points, but Astralis' history of mid-season adjustments persists if they falter in playoffs or the Cologne Major race. A deep PGL run could solidify stability toward No, while an early exit might ignite change speculation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Astralis's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Astralis" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6665/astralis#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: HooXi, phzy, jabbi, Staehr, and ryu. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 10:36 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.hltv.org/team/6665/astralis#tab-rosterBox
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Astralis's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Astralis" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6665/astralis#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: HooXi, phzy, jabbi, Staehr, and ryu. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Astralis's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Astralis" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6665/astralis#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: HooXi, phzy, jabbi, Staehr, and ryu. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Astralis' roster—HooXi, phzy, jabbi, Staehr, and ryu—has remained stable since its January rebuild with phzy and ryu signings following device and Magisk's December exits, fueling the closely contested 50.5% Yes probability as traders weigh CS2's volatile rostermania against the team's top-10 HLTV ranking and strong PGL Bucharest form, including a perfect 3-0 Swiss stage run past B8 and The MongolZ to secure playoffs. No rumors have surfaced in the past month amid consistent Valve ranking contention around 1700+ points, but Astralis' history of mid-season adjustments persists if they falter in playoffs or the Cologne Major race. A deep PGL run could solidify stability toward No, while an early exit might ignite change speculation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Astralis's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Astralis" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6665/astralis#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: HooXi, phzy, jabbi, Staehr, and ryu. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 10:36 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.hltv.org/team/6665/astralis#tab-rosterBox
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Astralis's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Astralis" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6665/astralis#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: HooXi, phzy, jabbi, Staehr, and ryu. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Изменится ли состав Astralis до июля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 51% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 51¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 51%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Изменится ли состав Astralis до июля?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 8, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Изменится ли состав Astralis до июля?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Изменится ли состав Astralis до июля?» составляет 51% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 51%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Изменится ли состав Astralis до июля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.