Market icon

Изменится ли состав «Авроры» до июля?

Market icon

Изменится ли состав «Авроры» до июля?

56% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
56% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Aurora Gaming to alter its main CS2 starter roster before July, reflecting persistent rumors of an international overhaul despite denials like molodoy's. Caster SPUNJ's April 3 leak detailed post-IEM Cologne Major targets including IGL aleksib, AWPer molodoy, and coach ashh—potentially benching veterans MAJ3R and woxic—amid XANTARES' ongoing hand injury that risks stand-ins. Aurora's solid recent form, including top-5 finishes and advancing past The MongolZ at BLAST Open Rotterdam, hasn't quelled speculation of age-related tweaks and VRS ambitions, keeping the market closely contested with upset potential if stability holds through IEM Rio.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Aurora Gaming to alter its main CS2 starter roster before July, reflecting persistent rumors of an international overhaul despite denials like molodoy's. Caster SPUNJ's April 3 leak detailed post-IEM Cologne Major targets including IGL aleksib, AWPer molodoy, and coach ashh—potentially benching veterans MAJ3R and woxic—amid XANTARES' ongoing hand injury that risks stand-ins. Aurora's solid recent form, including top-5 finishes and advancing past The MongolZ at BLAST Open Rotterdam, hasn't quelled speculation of age-related tweaks and VRS ambitions, keeping the market closely contested with upset potential if stability holds through IEM Rio.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1
Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Изменится ли состав «Авроры» до июля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 56% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 56¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 56%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Изменится ли состав «Авроры» до июля?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 8, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Изменится ли состав «Авроры» до июля?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Изменится ли состав «Авроры» до июля?» составляет 56% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 56%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Изменится ли состав «Авроры» до июля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.