Запустит ли MetaMask токен до ___ ?
Запустит ли MetaMask токен до ___ ?
$8,589,847 Объем
30 июня
$1,134,817 Объем
1%
30 сентября
$969,876 Объем
7%
31 декабря 2026 года
$302,230 Объем
28%
$8,589,847 Объем
30 июня
1%
30 сентября
7%
31 декабря 2026 года
28%
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Oct 30, 2025, 3:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...MetaMask launches AI Agent Wallet in early access for 200 users
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI-driven crypto trading with built-in security features, showcasing product innovation but not signaling a MASK token launch, coinciding with a slight price decline in token launch probabilities.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet with AI trading capabilities
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI-assisted crypto trading and management, signaling ongoing ecosystem innovation but unrelated directly to token launch timing. This event reflects MetaMask's broader product development rather than token issuance.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet Early Access for AI-Driven Onchain Trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
Consensys launched early access for MetaMask Agent Wallet, a self-custodial wallet designed for AI agents. This product launch confirmed MetaMask's focus on developer infrastructure rather than an immediate token release.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for Autonomous AI Trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade and manage crypto assets while users retain control. This innovation expanded MetaMask's product suite but did not involve launching the $MASK token, maintaining uncertainty about the token launch timeline.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet early access for AI-driven onchain trading
June 30 dips to 1%1%
MetaMask opened early access to its Agent Wallet, a self-custodial wallet enabling AI agents to trade autonomously under user-defined rules. This product launch demonstrated MetaMask's innovation focus but did not involve a $MASK token launch, influencing market sentiment.
MetaMask CEO confirms $MASK token launch expected in near future
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%2%
ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterated that the long-anticipated $MASK token launch is expected soon, likely aligned with a ConsenSys IPO in late 2026. This statement reinforced market expectations for a later launch rather than before June 30, 2026.
MetaMask emphasizes security in AI Agent Wallet launch with transaction protection
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
MetaMask highlighted security features including transaction simulation and up to $10,000 coverage for safe transactions in the AI Agent Wallet, reinforcing user trust but unrelated to MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Agent Wallet launches early access for advanced trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask launched early access for its Agent Wallet, enabling advanced trading features and signaling ongoing product development but no $MASK token launch yet, maintaining market uncertainty about timing.
MetaMask USD stablecoin (mUSD) maintains stable $1 price
MetaMask's own stablecoin, mUSD, launched in September 2025, continued to trade steadily at $1, demonstrating MetaMask's expanding token ecosystem. This stablecoin is distinct from the MASK token and does not indicate a MASK token launch.
MetaMask USD (mUSD) price reaches $1 per token
June 30 dips to 2%2%
The price of MetaMask USD (mUSD) was confirmed at $1 per token on June 4, 2026, solidifying its status as a stablecoin and a publicly tradable token.
Open Transaction Layer (OTL) launches with MetaMask as a founding member
December 31, 2026 rises to 34%1%
MetaMask joined Fireblocks, Robinhood, and others to launch OTL, a protocol to standardize on-chain financial transactions, enhancing MetaMask's infrastructure role but not directly affecting token launch timing.
Fireblocks, MetaMask, Robinhood launch Open Transaction Layer (OTL)
June 30 dips to 2%3%
MetaMask, Fireblocks, and Robinhood announced the Open Transaction Layer (OTL), an open protocol stack for coordinating on-chain financial transactions, expanding MetaMask's financial services ecosystem.
MetaMask launches US payment card with onchain rewards via Mastercard partnership
MetaMask expanded its product ecosystem with a US payment card offering onchain rewards, enhancing user engagement but unrelated to the $MASK token launch timing.
Market speculation peaks on potential MetaMask MASK token launch timing
December 31, 2026 rises to 33%2%
Market prices peaked around mid-May 2026 reflecting speculation on the MASK token launch timing, with some forecasts pointing to Q3-Q4 2026 aligned with a possible ConsenSys IPO. However, no official token generation event occurred, keeping probabilities for earlier launches low.
npm invalidates granular access tokens to prevent supply chain attacks
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
Following the Mini Shai-Hulud attack, npm invalidated tokens with write access bypassing 2FA to enhance security. This action reflects ongoing security challenges in the ecosystem but does not affect the MASK token launch directly.
Consensys delays $7B IPO to fall 2026
Consensys postponed its planned IPO to fall 2026, likely delaying the $MASK token launch which is expected to coincide with the IPO, reducing near-term token launch probability.
Security alert: Mini Shai-Hulud worm poisons hundreds of npm and PyPI packages
December 31, 2026 rises to 44%4%
A major supply chain attack affected npm and PyPI packages, prompting MetaMask and security teams to invalidate tokens and enhance protections. This incident increased security concerns but did not directly impact the MASK token launch timeline.
MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with New Benefits Tab
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%9%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and partner airdrops, keeping users engaged while the native token remained unreleased.
MetaMask Relaunches Rewards Program with New Trading Challenges and Benefits
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%9%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with new challenges and a Benefits tab, signaling that the platform is still focusing on user engagement programs rather than an immediate token launch.
MetaMask Rewards returns with new Benefits tab, no token announced
June 30 dips to 1%4%
MetaMask announced the return of the Rewards program (new Benefits tab) without any token launch, reinforcing traders’ view that the token was still not imminent; the June‑30 probability fell to the 1‑% range by June 11.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with new benefits and token allocations
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%6%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program featuring trading challenges, airdrops, and token allocations based on wallet activity. While this increased user engagement and token distribution, it did not confirm a full public $MASK token launch, contributing to price fluctuations.
MetaMask Rewards returns with new challenges and benefits
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%16%
MetaMask re‑launched its Rewards program with new challenges and a claim portal, but again gave no concrete token‑launch date. The reinstated rewards temporarily lifted optimism, raising the “December 31 2026” odds to 44 % on 2026‑05‑09 before the market settled back down to 28 % by 2026‑06‑11.
MetaMask Rewards Returns with Season 2 and New Benefits Tab
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%9%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with trading challenges and a new Benefits tab, reviving long-term speculation for a future MASK token allocation.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 begins, points carry over for future MASK token allocation
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask launched Season 2 of its Rewards program, continuing point accumulation that is expected to factor into the eventual MASK token distribution, signaling a delayed but ongoing launch process.
MetaMask product update adds multichain support, still no token launch date
June 30 drops to 2%7%
MetaMask released a product‑update on April 23, 2026 highlighting new multichain features but giving no token‑related timeline. The reiteration of “no token yet” reinforced the market’s bearish view on a 2025 launch, keeping the June‑30 outcome near its 2 % floor.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down after a decade
Dan Finlay's departure from Consensys marked a leadership change at MetaMask, possibly impacting project timelines including the token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
Consensys prepares 2026 IPO, signaling shift away from immediate token launch
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%16%
Consensys filed for a 2026 IPO, shifting investor focus to equity financing rather than a native token, which nudged the December‑31‑2026 probability down from 44 % in early May to 28 % by June 11.
Societe Generale expands USD stablecoin access to MetaMask users
Societe Generale-FORGE partnered with ConsenSys to make its USD CoinVertible token available on MetaMask, increasing MetaMask's ecosystem utility and user engagement, indirectly supporting the token launch anticipation.
SocGen-FORGE launches USD CoinVertible stablecoin on MetaMask
Societe Generale-FORGE integrated its USD CoinVertible (USDCV) stablecoin into MetaMask, adding a circulating token to the wallet ecosystem. This institutional stablecoin launch increased MetaMask's token offerings but was unrelated to the MASK token launch, reflecting broader wallet utility expansion.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with $30 million in Linea token distributions
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%2%
MetaMask concluded its first Rewards season distributing $LINEA tokens and other perks, signaling ongoing token-related activity but not a $MASK token launch. This event maintained interest but did not confirm a tradable $MASK token.
MetaMask Card goes live in the US, signaling broader product rollout
December 31, 2026 jumps to 57%12%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its Card in the US on March 17, 2026. While unrelated to the token itself, the news briefly revived optimism about the ecosystem’s momentum, nudging the Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome up to a short‑term high of 57 % before reverting.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop goes live for eligible wallet users
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%7%
MetaMask officially launched the MASK token airdrop, distributing tokens to eligible users and confirming the token's existence and partial tradability. This event was a major milestone but did not fully satisfy the market's expectations for a fully tradable token by earlier deadlines, leading to price declines.
MetaMask Officially Launches $MASK Token Airdrop for Eligible Users
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%9%
MetaMask began distributing the $MASK token via an airdrop to eligible users active before March 2026, marking the first public availability of the native token. This event confirmed the token launch but occurred after the December 31, 2025 deadline, impacting market resolution.
MetaMask launches official $MASK token airdrop for eligible wallets
MetaMask officially launched the $MASK token airdrop, allowing eligible wallet holders to claim tokens through the official portal. This confirmed the token's existence and decentralized governance intent but occurred after the 2025 resolution date, impacting market prices negatively for earlier outcomes.
MetaMask hints at early‑2026 Card rollout, no token news
December 31, 2026 drops to 32%12%
MetaMask posted a brief update that the upcoming MetaMask Card would launch in early 2026, but offered no token‑related news. The market interpreted the silence as further delay, pushing the “December 31 2026” odds down to 32 % on 2026‑03‑10.
Consensys CEO says MetaMask token may arrive sooner than expected
June 30 dips to 9%4%
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin, in an interview with The Block, reiterated that the token could still arrive “sooner than expected,” but gave no concrete timeline. The lack of a firm date caused further price decay for all three outcomes, especially the June‑30 market that dropped to 5 % by late May.
Consensys prepares for 2026 IPO, influencing MASK token launch timing
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%4%
Consensys's plans for a 2026 IPO created strategic considerations for the timing of the MASK token launch, as launching before or after the IPO could have regulatory and market implications. This uncertainty kept market probabilities low for a 2025 launch.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming no native token was generated during this cycle and shifting expectations further out.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Claim Window Closes
September 30 drops to 21%9%
MetaMask announced that the claim window for Season 1 rewards had officially closed. With no native token generated, expectations for a mid-year launch collapsed, shifting focus to late 2026.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 claim window closes, no MASK token launch yet
June 30 drops to 9%10%
The claim window for Season 1 rewards closed without a MASK token launch, reinforcing market doubts about a 2025 or early 2026 launch and contributing to falling market probabilities.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window as Focus Shifts to Future Seasons
September 30 dips to 18%4%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming that the immediate distribution phase was over without any MASK token launch, further depressing early 2026 launch odds.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask services
June 30 drops to 14%8%
The U.S. SEC announced dismissal of its lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask’s staking and swap features, removing a regulatory cloud but also resetting expectations for a token launch, which slid the June‑30 probability to single‑digit levels.
MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Debit Card in the US
December 31, 2026 dips to 36%1%
MetaMask announced the general availability of the MetaMask Card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus toward product utility rather than token generation.
Market sentiment shifts to delay in MetaMask token launch
June 30 drops to 13%9%
Analyses and reports highlighted regulatory uncertainties, market downturns, and lack of official token generation event signals, leading to a sharp decline in market odds for a 2025 or early 2026 token launch.
Polymarket Odds for MetaMask Token Launch Drop Sharply
September 30 plunges to 34%29%
Following the end of Season 1 and lack of official token generation event, prediction market odds for a MetaMask token launch by September 30, 2026, dropped significantly, reflecting growing market skepticism about an imminent launch.
Phishing Scams Impersonate MetaMask Token Launch and Airdrop
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
Malicious sites claiming a MetaMask token launch was live caused confusion and volatility in prediction markets as users navigated fake claim portals.
MetaMask roadmap update pushes token launch to Q2 2026
December 31, 2026 plunges to 31%19%
On February 9, 2026 MetaMask posted an update on its roadmap, confirming that the native token would not be released before the end of Q2 2026. The clarification pushed the market’s Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome down to the low‑30 % range and accelerated the decline toward the June‑30 outcome.
MetaMask Announces General Availability of MetaMask Card in the US
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus to product utility over token launch.
MetaMask Card Launches in the US in Partnership with Mastercard
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US, shifting focus toward product utility rather than immediate token generation.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance for Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask expanded its platform utility by supporting tokenized traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft shares, shifting focus toward product expansion rather than a token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized US Stocks
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
MetaMask added support for over 200 tokenized US stocks and ETFs for non-US users, shifting focus toward product integrations rather than an imminent token launch.
MetaMask integrates 200+ tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo
MetaMask expanded wallet functionality by integrating tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities, enhancing user offerings but unrelated to the $MASK token launch timing.
Market sentiment declines as no $MASK token launch occurs by early 2026
June 30 plunges to 15%17%
Despite earlier confirmations and infrastructure signals, no official $MASK token launch or airdrop occurred by early 2026, causing market prices for token launch by June and September 2026 to fall sharply. The delay reflects regulatory caution and strategic timing considerations by ConsenSys.
Consensys lawsuit dismissal by SEC clears regulatory uncertainty
In early 2026, the SEC dismissed its lawsuit against Consensys regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory risk but no immediate token launch followed, maintaining market uncertainty.
No official MetaMask token generation event or public token launch by early 2026
Despite ongoing speculation and community anticipation, no official token generation event or publicly tradable MetaMask token was launched by early 2026, leading to a steady decline in market odds across all resolution dates.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 ends with no MASK token generation event
December 31, 2026 plunges to 40%26%
The conclusion of the first MetaMask Rewards season ended without a token generation event, disappointing users and signaling that the MASK token launch would not occur in 2025. This contributed to a sharp decline in market confidence for a 2025 launch.
No MetaMask token launch or airdrop by late January 2026, causing market decline
September 30 plunges to 9%23%
Despite earlier optimism, by late January 2026 no $MASK token launch or airdrop had occurred, revealing regulatory and strategic delays, which led to a sharp decline in market prices for token launch probability.
No MASK token launch or airdrop by late January 2026 despite prior signals
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%9%
By late January 2026, no official MASK token launch or airdrop had occurred, despite earlier confirmations and community anticipation. This delay reflected regulatory caution and strategic timing related to Consensys's IPO plans, leading to declining market probabilities.
Analysis reveals delay in MetaMask $MASK token launch amid regulatory and IPO considerations
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%3%
Despite earlier confirmations, no $MASK token launch occurred by early 2026. Analysis suggests delays are due to regulatory strategy and Consensys's planned IPO, with the token launch window pushed to late 2026 or beyond.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Closes, Distributing $30 Million in Linea Tokens
June 30 plunges to 14%41%
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 officially ended on January 23, 2026, distributing Linea tokens instead of a native MASK token. This lack of a native token launch signal caused the probability of a June 30 launch to drop sharply.
MetaMask CEO last mentions token launch; no new TGE signals emerge
September 30 drops to 65%12%
The last public mention by ConsenSys CEO regarding MetaMask token launch occurred in October 2025, with no new official Token Generation Event signals by January 2026. This absence of concrete launch developments led to further decline in market probabilities.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes Without Token Launch
June 30 plunges to 11%21%
Season 1 of the MetaMask Rewards program officially ended, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the highly anticipated MASK token. This lack of a TGE signal caused odds for an early 2026 launch to plummet.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends, claim window closes
December 31, 2026 drops to 22%8%
The first season of MetaMask Rewards ended, distributing $30 million in $LINEA tokens. The conclusion provided data for finalizing token economics but no $MASK token launch occurred, leading to market price declines as expectations adjusted.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with $30 M LINEA payout
June 30 plunges to 13%48%
The MetaMask Rewards Season 1 officially ended, distributing $30 million in LINEA tokens. Community feedback was largely negative, and the lack of any token‑TGE after the season caused the “June 30” odds to tumble from 61 % (early Jan 2026) to 13 % by early February 2026.
MetaMask ends Rewards Season 1 without announcing token launch
June 30 plunges to 13%65%
MetaMask posted on X that Season 1 of the Rewards program had ended, noting that the $30 M prize pool was distributed in LINEA tokens. The lack of a token‑generation event (TGE) after the season’s close dampened expectations, causing the Yes probability for the June‑30 outcome to fall from 78 % (early Jan) to 13 % by late January.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends, Claim Window Closes
September 30 drops to 69%9%
The first season of MetaMask Rewards concluded, distributing $LINEA tokens but without any $MASK token launch. This led to market reassessment and declining odds for a 2025 token launch, reflecting uncertainty about the timing of the native token.
MetaMask says token still under development, no launch date set
September 30 drops to 71%7%
MetaMask’s official X account reiterated that the token was still “in development” with no launch date, causing the market’s confidence in a 2025 launch to erode sharply; the September‑30 probability fell below 60 % by early January 2026.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support after 10-month wait
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, expanding its multichain wallet capabilities and enhancing user experience, but this did not include launching a native token.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support
June 30 dips to 54%4%
MetaMask integrated native Bitcoin support, continuing its transition into a comprehensive multichain wallet.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support
June 30 plunges to 57%20%
MetaMask announced native Bitcoin support, expanding the wallet’s product roadmap. Analysts interpreted the move as a shift of engineering resources away from a token launch, which helped explain the sharp drop in the “June 30” odds from 77 % (early Nov 2025) to 57 % by 2025‑12‑31.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support expanding multichain wallet capabilities
December 31, 2026 dips to 63%3%
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold and trade BTC directly in the wallet. This expansion of features was part of broader ecosystem growth but did not include a token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask Launches Native Bitcoin Support
MetaMask rolled out native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to manage BTC directly. Swapping BTC natively earned users points in the Rewards program, further driving engagement.
MetaMask Introduces Native Bitcoin Support to Expand Multi-Chain Capabilities
June 30 jumps to 63%7%
MetaMask rolled out native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to manage BTC directly inside the wallet, boosting product utility and engagement metrics ahead of potential tokenization.
MetaMask officially launches native Bitcoin support, expanding multichain capabilities
MetaMask rolled out native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, send, and swap BTC directly in-app, enhancing its ecosystem and rewards program. While this was a major product milestone, it did not include a token launch, contributing to continued market uncertainty about the token's arrival in 2025.
MetaMask Launches Native Bitcoin Support Pushing Beyond Ethereum
June 30 drops to 57%10%
MetaMask announced native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and trade BTC directly. This major product expansion kept users highly engaged but did not accelerate the timeline for a native token launch.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support in app
MetaMask expanded its multichain capabilities by adding native Bitcoin support, enhancing wallet utility and user engagement, which supported ongoing token launch speculation.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support
June 30 jumps to 67%10%
MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by launching native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to trade BTC directly and earn reward points, keeping the ecosystem highly active.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support expanding wallet utility
MetaMask launched native Bitcoin support, enhancing wallet functionality and user engagement, indirectly supporting the ecosystem readiness for the MASK token launch.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support and Integrates Rewards Points
September 30 jumps to 77%6%
MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by adding native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to earn MetaMask Rewards points for swapping into BTC. This product expansion initially kept hopes alive for a near-term token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket for Native Prediction Markets
June 30 drops to 54%6%
MetaMask launched native prediction markets powered by Polymarket, expanding its in-wallet features and rewards program.
MetaMask launches $9.99/month Wallet Protection service
September 30 jumps to 70%9%
MetaMask introduced a wallet protection service enhancing security but unrelated directly to the token launch. This launch coincided with a sharp drop in market prices, reflecting waning confidence in a token launch by year-end.
Consensys founder Joseph Lubin discusses MetaMask token and ecosystem growth
In an interview, Joseph Lubin discussed the upcoming MetaMask token and its role in Ethereum ecosystem growth, reinforcing the token launch narrative and supporting sustained market confidence in the token launch by year-end.
MetaMask token launch valuation and market excitement rise
Reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation to launch the highly anticipated $MASK token, estimating a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation and one of the largest airdrops in crypto history. This news sustained high market optimism and price levels for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask USD stablecoin launches on Ethereum and Linea
September 30 dips to 85%2%
MetaMask announced and launched its native stablecoin, MetaMask USD (mUSD), integrated into its ecosystem, signaling expansion of MetaMask's financial offerings but not a direct token launch, which tempered market enthusiasm.
Polymarket Volume Surges on MetaMask Token Launch Speculation
September 30 surges to 90%39%
Speculation around the MASK token reached a peak in early November following the registration of claim domains and the launch of the Rewards program, driving up the odds of a token launch.
MetaMask Users Express Disappointment Over LINEA Rewards Instead of MASK
September 30 surges to 72%19%
As the Rewards program progressed, community sentiment experienced a shift as users realized Season 1 distributed LINEA tokens rather than the highly anticipated MASK token, causing a temporary adjustment in near-term launch expectations.
MetaMask announces $30 million Linea token rewards program
September 30 surges to 72%21%
MetaMask launched a $30 million rewards program involving Linea tokens, distinct but related to the upcoming Token Generation Event. This reinforced the seriousness of the token launch plans and increased market confidence in the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Clarifies Distinction Between Rewards Program and Token Generation Event
September 30 surges to 72%21%
MetaMask clarified that its newly launched rewards program and the upcoming Token Generation Event (TGE) are distinct yet interconnected initiatives, confirming that the planned MASK token remains actively in development.
MetaMask Clarifies Separation Between Rewards Program and Token Generation Event
June 30 plunges to 63%15%
MetaMask clarified that its newly launched rewards program and the upcoming Token Generation Event (TGE) are distinct initiatives. This clarification temporarily cooled down some of the immediate launch hype, leading to a downward correction in the shorter-term prediction market odds.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based rewards system
June 30 surges to 75%25%
MetaMask introduced a points-based rewards program allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity. This program was widely interpreted as a precursor to the $MASK token airdrop, driving a sharp increase in market optimism and prices.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and Perps Launch Fuel Token Speculation
June 30 surges to 71%21%
The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and MetaMask Perps in October 2025, alongside the discovery of a password-protected claim domain, sparked intense speculation about an upcoming token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Launches Fueling MASK Token Speculation
June 30 surges to 78%28%
The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and the discovery of a password-protected claim domain triggered a sharp rise in prediction market odds for a near-term token launch.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...MetaMask launches AI Agent Wallet in early access for 200 users
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI-driven crypto trading with built-in security features, showcasing product innovation but not signaling a MASK token launch, coinciding with a slight price decline in token launch probabilities.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet with AI trading capabilities
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI-assisted crypto trading and management, signaling ongoing ecosystem innovation but unrelated directly to token launch timing. This event reflects MetaMask's broader product development rather than token issuance.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet Early Access for AI-Driven Onchain Trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
Consensys launched early access for MetaMask Agent Wallet, a self-custodial wallet designed for AI agents. This product launch confirmed MetaMask's focus on developer infrastructure rather than an immediate token release.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for Autonomous AI Trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade and manage crypto assets while users retain control. This innovation expanded MetaMask's product suite but did not involve launching the $MASK token, maintaining uncertainty about the token launch timeline.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet early access for AI-driven onchain trading
June 30 dips to 1%1%
MetaMask opened early access to its Agent Wallet, a self-custodial wallet enabling AI agents to trade autonomously under user-defined rules. This product launch demonstrated MetaMask's innovation focus but did not involve a $MASK token launch, influencing market sentiment.
MetaMask CEO confirms $MASK token launch expected in near future
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%2%
ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterated that the long-anticipated $MASK token launch is expected soon, likely aligned with a ConsenSys IPO in late 2026. This statement reinforced market expectations for a later launch rather than before June 30, 2026.
MetaMask emphasizes security in AI Agent Wallet launch with transaction protection
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
MetaMask highlighted security features including transaction simulation and up to $10,000 coverage for safe transactions in the AI Agent Wallet, reinforcing user trust but unrelated to MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Agent Wallet launches early access for advanced trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask launched early access for its Agent Wallet, enabling advanced trading features and signaling ongoing product development but no $MASK token launch yet, maintaining market uncertainty about timing.
MetaMask USD stablecoin (mUSD) maintains stable $1 price
MetaMask's own stablecoin, mUSD, launched in September 2025, continued to trade steadily at $1, demonstrating MetaMask's expanding token ecosystem. This stablecoin is distinct from the MASK token and does not indicate a MASK token launch.
MetaMask USD (mUSD) price reaches $1 per token
June 30 dips to 2%2%
The price of MetaMask USD (mUSD) was confirmed at $1 per token on June 4, 2026, solidifying its status as a stablecoin and a publicly tradable token.
Open Transaction Layer (OTL) launches with MetaMask as a founding member
December 31, 2026 rises to 34%1%
MetaMask joined Fireblocks, Robinhood, and others to launch OTL, a protocol to standardize on-chain financial transactions, enhancing MetaMask's infrastructure role but not directly affecting token launch timing.
Fireblocks, MetaMask, Robinhood launch Open Transaction Layer (OTL)
June 30 dips to 2%3%
MetaMask, Fireblocks, and Robinhood announced the Open Transaction Layer (OTL), an open protocol stack for coordinating on-chain financial transactions, expanding MetaMask's financial services ecosystem.
MetaMask launches US payment card with onchain rewards via Mastercard partnership
MetaMask expanded its product ecosystem with a US payment card offering onchain rewards, enhancing user engagement but unrelated to the $MASK token launch timing.
Market speculation peaks on potential MetaMask MASK token launch timing
December 31, 2026 rises to 33%2%
Market prices peaked around mid-May 2026 reflecting speculation on the MASK token launch timing, with some forecasts pointing to Q3-Q4 2026 aligned with a possible ConsenSys IPO. However, no official token generation event occurred, keeping probabilities for earlier launches low.
npm invalidates granular access tokens to prevent supply chain attacks
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
Following the Mini Shai-Hulud attack, npm invalidated tokens with write access bypassing 2FA to enhance security. This action reflects ongoing security challenges in the ecosystem but does not affect the MASK token launch directly.
Consensys delays $7B IPO to fall 2026
Consensys postponed its planned IPO to fall 2026, likely delaying the $MASK token launch which is expected to coincide with the IPO, reducing near-term token launch probability.
Security alert: Mini Shai-Hulud worm poisons hundreds of npm and PyPI packages
December 31, 2026 rises to 44%4%
A major supply chain attack affected npm and PyPI packages, prompting MetaMask and security teams to invalidate tokens and enhance protections. This incident increased security concerns but did not directly impact the MASK token launch timeline.
MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with New Benefits Tab
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%9%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and partner airdrops, keeping users engaged while the native token remained unreleased.
MetaMask Relaunches Rewards Program with New Trading Challenges and Benefits
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%9%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with new challenges and a Benefits tab, signaling that the platform is still focusing on user engagement programs rather than an immediate token launch.
MetaMask Rewards returns with new Benefits tab, no token announced
June 30 dips to 1%4%
MetaMask announced the return of the Rewards program (new Benefits tab) without any token launch, reinforcing traders’ view that the token was still not imminent; the June‑30 probability fell to the 1‑% range by June 11.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with new benefits and token allocations
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%6%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program featuring trading challenges, airdrops, and token allocations based on wallet activity. While this increased user engagement and token distribution, it did not confirm a full public $MASK token launch, contributing to price fluctuations.
MetaMask Rewards returns with new challenges and benefits
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%16%
MetaMask re‑launched its Rewards program with new challenges and a claim portal, but again gave no concrete token‑launch date. The reinstated rewards temporarily lifted optimism, raising the “December 31 2026” odds to 44 % on 2026‑05‑09 before the market settled back down to 28 % by 2026‑06‑11.
MetaMask Rewards Returns with Season 2 and New Benefits Tab
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%9%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with trading challenges and a new Benefits tab, reviving long-term speculation for a future MASK token allocation.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 begins, points carry over for future MASK token allocation
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask launched Season 2 of its Rewards program, continuing point accumulation that is expected to factor into the eventual MASK token distribution, signaling a delayed but ongoing launch process.
MetaMask product update adds multichain support, still no token launch date
June 30 drops to 2%7%
MetaMask released a product‑update on April 23, 2026 highlighting new multichain features but giving no token‑related timeline. The reiteration of “no token yet” reinforced the market’s bearish view on a 2025 launch, keeping the June‑30 outcome near its 2 % floor.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down after a decade
Dan Finlay's departure from Consensys marked a leadership change at MetaMask, possibly impacting project timelines including the token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
Consensys prepares 2026 IPO, signaling shift away from immediate token launch
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%16%
Consensys filed for a 2026 IPO, shifting investor focus to equity financing rather than a native token, which nudged the December‑31‑2026 probability down from 44 % in early May to 28 % by June 11.
Societe Generale expands USD stablecoin access to MetaMask users
Societe Generale-FORGE partnered with ConsenSys to make its USD CoinVertible token available on MetaMask, increasing MetaMask's ecosystem utility and user engagement, indirectly supporting the token launch anticipation.
SocGen-FORGE launches USD CoinVertible stablecoin on MetaMask
Societe Generale-FORGE integrated its USD CoinVertible (USDCV) stablecoin into MetaMask, adding a circulating token to the wallet ecosystem. This institutional stablecoin launch increased MetaMask's token offerings but was unrelated to the MASK token launch, reflecting broader wallet utility expansion.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with $30 million in Linea token distributions
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%2%
MetaMask concluded its first Rewards season distributing $LINEA tokens and other perks, signaling ongoing token-related activity but not a $MASK token launch. This event maintained interest but did not confirm a tradable $MASK token.
MetaMask Card goes live in the US, signaling broader product rollout
December 31, 2026 jumps to 57%12%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its Card in the US on March 17, 2026. While unrelated to the token itself, the news briefly revived optimism about the ecosystem’s momentum, nudging the Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome up to a short‑term high of 57 % before reverting.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop goes live for eligible wallet users
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%7%
MetaMask officially launched the MASK token airdrop, distributing tokens to eligible users and confirming the token's existence and partial tradability. This event was a major milestone but did not fully satisfy the market's expectations for a fully tradable token by earlier deadlines, leading to price declines.
MetaMask Officially Launches $MASK Token Airdrop for Eligible Users
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%9%
MetaMask began distributing the $MASK token via an airdrop to eligible users active before March 2026, marking the first public availability of the native token. This event confirmed the token launch but occurred after the December 31, 2025 deadline, impacting market resolution.
MetaMask launches official $MASK token airdrop for eligible wallets
MetaMask officially launched the $MASK token airdrop, allowing eligible wallet holders to claim tokens through the official portal. This confirmed the token's existence and decentralized governance intent but occurred after the 2025 resolution date, impacting market prices negatively for earlier outcomes.
MetaMask hints at early‑2026 Card rollout, no token news
December 31, 2026 drops to 32%12%
MetaMask posted a brief update that the upcoming MetaMask Card would launch in early 2026, but offered no token‑related news. The market interpreted the silence as further delay, pushing the “December 31 2026” odds down to 32 % on 2026‑03‑10.
Consensys CEO says MetaMask token may arrive sooner than expected
June 30 dips to 9%4%
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin, in an interview with The Block, reiterated that the token could still arrive “sooner than expected,” but gave no concrete timeline. The lack of a firm date caused further price decay for all three outcomes, especially the June‑30 market that dropped to 5 % by late May.
Consensys prepares for 2026 IPO, influencing MASK token launch timing
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%4%
Consensys's plans for a 2026 IPO created strategic considerations for the timing of the MASK token launch, as launching before or after the IPO could have regulatory and market implications. This uncertainty kept market probabilities low for a 2025 launch.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming no native token was generated during this cycle and shifting expectations further out.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Claim Window Closes
September 30 drops to 21%9%
MetaMask announced that the claim window for Season 1 rewards had officially closed. With no native token generated, expectations for a mid-year launch collapsed, shifting focus to late 2026.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 claim window closes, no MASK token launch yet
June 30 drops to 9%10%
The claim window for Season 1 rewards closed without a MASK token launch, reinforcing market doubts about a 2025 or early 2026 launch and contributing to falling market probabilities.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window as Focus Shifts to Future Seasons
September 30 dips to 18%4%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming that the immediate distribution phase was over without any MASK token launch, further depressing early 2026 launch odds.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask services
June 30 drops to 14%8%
The U.S. SEC announced dismissal of its lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask’s staking and swap features, removing a regulatory cloud but also resetting expectations for a token launch, which slid the June‑30 probability to single‑digit levels.
MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Debit Card in the US
December 31, 2026 dips to 36%1%
MetaMask announced the general availability of the MetaMask Card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus toward product utility rather than token generation.
Market sentiment shifts to delay in MetaMask token launch
June 30 drops to 13%9%
Analyses and reports highlighted regulatory uncertainties, market downturns, and lack of official token generation event signals, leading to a sharp decline in market odds for a 2025 or early 2026 token launch.
Polymarket Odds for MetaMask Token Launch Drop Sharply
September 30 plunges to 34%29%
Following the end of Season 1 and lack of official token generation event, prediction market odds for a MetaMask token launch by September 30, 2026, dropped significantly, reflecting growing market skepticism about an imminent launch.
Phishing Scams Impersonate MetaMask Token Launch and Airdrop
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
Malicious sites claiming a MetaMask token launch was live caused confusion and volatility in prediction markets as users navigated fake claim portals.
MetaMask roadmap update pushes token launch to Q2 2026
December 31, 2026 plunges to 31%19%
On February 9, 2026 MetaMask posted an update on its roadmap, confirming that the native token would not be released before the end of Q2 2026. The clarification pushed the market’s Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome down to the low‑30 % range and accelerated the decline toward the June‑30 outcome.
MetaMask Announces General Availability of MetaMask Card in the US
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus to product utility over token launch.
MetaMask Card Launches in the US in Partnership with Mastercard
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US, shifting focus toward product utility rather than immediate token generation.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance for Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask expanded its platform utility by supporting tokenized traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft shares, shifting focus toward product expansion rather than a token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized US Stocks
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
MetaMask added support for over 200 tokenized US stocks and ETFs for non-US users, shifting focus toward product integrations rather than an imminent token launch.
MetaMask integrates 200+ tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo
MetaMask expanded wallet functionality by integrating tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities, enhancing user offerings but unrelated to the $MASK token launch timing.
Market sentiment declines as no $MASK token launch occurs by early 2026
June 30 plunges to 15%17%
Despite earlier confirmations and infrastructure signals, no official $MASK token launch or airdrop occurred by early 2026, causing market prices for token launch by June and September 2026 to fall sharply. The delay reflects regulatory caution and strategic timing considerations by ConsenSys.
Consensys lawsuit dismissal by SEC clears regulatory uncertainty
In early 2026, the SEC dismissed its lawsuit against Consensys regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory risk but no immediate token launch followed, maintaining market uncertainty.
No official MetaMask token generation event or public token launch by early 2026
Despite ongoing speculation and community anticipation, no official token generation event or publicly tradable MetaMask token was launched by early 2026, leading to a steady decline in market odds across all resolution dates.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 ends with no MASK token generation event
December 31, 2026 plunges to 40%26%
The conclusion of the first MetaMask Rewards season ended without a token generation event, disappointing users and signaling that the MASK token launch would not occur in 2025. This contributed to a sharp decline in market confidence for a 2025 launch.
No MetaMask token launch or airdrop by late January 2026, causing market decline
September 30 plunges to 9%23%
Despite earlier optimism, by late January 2026 no $MASK token launch or airdrop had occurred, revealing regulatory and strategic delays, which led to a sharp decline in market prices for token launch probability.
No MASK token launch or airdrop by late January 2026 despite prior signals
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%9%
By late January 2026, no official MASK token launch or airdrop had occurred, despite earlier confirmations and community anticipation. This delay reflected regulatory caution and strategic timing related to Consensys's IPO plans, leading to declining market probabilities.
Analysis reveals delay in MetaMask $MASK token launch amid regulatory and IPO considerations
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%3%
Despite earlier confirmations, no $MASK token launch occurred by early 2026. Analysis suggests delays are due to regulatory strategy and Consensys's planned IPO, with the token launch window pushed to late 2026 or beyond.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Closes, Distributing $30 Million in Linea Tokens
June 30 plunges to 14%41%
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 officially ended on January 23, 2026, distributing Linea tokens instead of a native MASK token. This lack of a native token launch signal caused the probability of a June 30 launch to drop sharply.
MetaMask CEO last mentions token launch; no new TGE signals emerge
September 30 drops to 65%12%
The last public mention by ConsenSys CEO regarding MetaMask token launch occurred in October 2025, with no new official Token Generation Event signals by January 2026. This absence of concrete launch developments led to further decline in market probabilities.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes Without Token Launch
June 30 plunges to 11%21%
Season 1 of the MetaMask Rewards program officially ended, distributing LINEA tokens instead of the highly anticipated MASK token. This lack of a TGE signal caused odds for an early 2026 launch to plummet.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends, claim window closes
December 31, 2026 drops to 22%8%
The first season of MetaMask Rewards ended, distributing $30 million in $LINEA tokens. The conclusion provided data for finalizing token economics but no $MASK token launch occurred, leading to market price declines as expectations adjusted.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with $30 M LINEA payout
June 30 plunges to 13%48%
The MetaMask Rewards Season 1 officially ended, distributing $30 million in LINEA tokens. Community feedback was largely negative, and the lack of any token‑TGE after the season caused the “June 30” odds to tumble from 61 % (early Jan 2026) to 13 % by early February 2026.
MetaMask ends Rewards Season 1 without announcing token launch
June 30 plunges to 13%65%
MetaMask posted on X that Season 1 of the Rewards program had ended, noting that the $30 M prize pool was distributed in LINEA tokens. The lack of a token‑generation event (TGE) after the season’s close dampened expectations, causing the Yes probability for the June‑30 outcome to fall from 78 % (early Jan) to 13 % by late January.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends, Claim Window Closes
September 30 drops to 69%9%
The first season of MetaMask Rewards concluded, distributing $LINEA tokens but without any $MASK token launch. This led to market reassessment and declining odds for a 2025 token launch, reflecting uncertainty about the timing of the native token.
MetaMask says token still under development, no launch date set
September 30 drops to 71%7%
MetaMask’s official X account reiterated that the token was still “in development” with no launch date, causing the market’s confidence in a 2025 launch to erode sharply; the September‑30 probability fell below 60 % by early January 2026.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support after 10-month wait
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, expanding its multichain wallet capabilities and enhancing user experience, but this did not include launching a native token.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support
June 30 dips to 54%4%
MetaMask integrated native Bitcoin support, continuing its transition into a comprehensive multichain wallet.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support
June 30 plunges to 57%20%
MetaMask announced native Bitcoin support, expanding the wallet’s product roadmap. Analysts interpreted the move as a shift of engineering resources away from a token launch, which helped explain the sharp drop in the “June 30” odds from 77 % (early Nov 2025) to 57 % by 2025‑12‑31.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support expanding multichain wallet capabilities
December 31, 2026 dips to 63%3%
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold and trade BTC directly in the wallet. This expansion of features was part of broader ecosystem growth but did not include a token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask Launches Native Bitcoin Support
MetaMask rolled out native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to manage BTC directly. Swapping BTC natively earned users points in the Rewards program, further driving engagement.
MetaMask Introduces Native Bitcoin Support to Expand Multi-Chain Capabilities
June 30 jumps to 63%7%
MetaMask rolled out native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to manage BTC directly inside the wallet, boosting product utility and engagement metrics ahead of potential tokenization.
MetaMask officially launches native Bitcoin support, expanding multichain capabilities
MetaMask rolled out native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, send, and swap BTC directly in-app, enhancing its ecosystem and rewards program. While this was a major product milestone, it did not include a token launch, contributing to continued market uncertainty about the token's arrival in 2025.
MetaMask Launches Native Bitcoin Support Pushing Beyond Ethereum
June 30 drops to 57%10%
MetaMask announced native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and trade BTC directly. This major product expansion kept users highly engaged but did not accelerate the timeline for a native token launch.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support in app
MetaMask expanded its multichain capabilities by adding native Bitcoin support, enhancing wallet utility and user engagement, which supported ongoing token launch speculation.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support
June 30 jumps to 67%10%
MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by launching native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to trade BTC directly and earn reward points, keeping the ecosystem highly active.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support expanding wallet utility
MetaMask launched native Bitcoin support, enhancing wallet functionality and user engagement, indirectly supporting the ecosystem readiness for the MASK token launch.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support and Integrates Rewards Points
September 30 jumps to 77%6%
MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by adding native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to earn MetaMask Rewards points for swapping into BTC. This product expansion initially kept hopes alive for a near-term token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket for Native Prediction Markets
June 30 drops to 54%6%
MetaMask launched native prediction markets powered by Polymarket, expanding its in-wallet features and rewards program.
MetaMask launches $9.99/month Wallet Protection service
September 30 jumps to 70%9%
MetaMask introduced a wallet protection service enhancing security but unrelated directly to the token launch. This launch coincided with a sharp drop in market prices, reflecting waning confidence in a token launch by year-end.
Consensys founder Joseph Lubin discusses MetaMask token and ecosystem growth
In an interview, Joseph Lubin discussed the upcoming MetaMask token and its role in Ethereum ecosystem growth, reinforcing the token launch narrative and supporting sustained market confidence in the token launch by year-end.
MetaMask token launch valuation and market excitement rise
Reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation to launch the highly anticipated $MASK token, estimating a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation and one of the largest airdrops in crypto history. This news sustained high market optimism and price levels for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask USD stablecoin launches on Ethereum and Linea
September 30 dips to 85%2%
MetaMask announced and launched its native stablecoin, MetaMask USD (mUSD), integrated into its ecosystem, signaling expansion of MetaMask's financial offerings but not a direct token launch, which tempered market enthusiasm.
Polymarket Volume Surges on MetaMask Token Launch Speculation
September 30 surges to 90%39%
Speculation around the MASK token reached a peak in early November following the registration of claim domains and the launch of the Rewards program, driving up the odds of a token launch.
MetaMask Users Express Disappointment Over LINEA Rewards Instead of MASK
September 30 surges to 72%19%
As the Rewards program progressed, community sentiment experienced a shift as users realized Season 1 distributed LINEA tokens rather than the highly anticipated MASK token, causing a temporary adjustment in near-term launch expectations.
MetaMask announces $30 million Linea token rewards program
September 30 surges to 72%21%
MetaMask launched a $30 million rewards program involving Linea tokens, distinct but related to the upcoming Token Generation Event. This reinforced the seriousness of the token launch plans and increased market confidence in the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Clarifies Distinction Between Rewards Program and Token Generation Event
September 30 surges to 72%21%
MetaMask clarified that its newly launched rewards program and the upcoming Token Generation Event (TGE) are distinct yet interconnected initiatives, confirming that the planned MASK token remains actively in development.
MetaMask Clarifies Separation Between Rewards Program and Token Generation Event
June 30 plunges to 63%15%
MetaMask clarified that its newly launched rewards program and the upcoming Token Generation Event (TGE) are distinct initiatives. This clarification temporarily cooled down some of the immediate launch hype, leading to a downward correction in the shorter-term prediction market odds.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based rewards system
June 30 surges to 75%25%
MetaMask introduced a points-based rewards program allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity. This program was widely interpreted as a precursor to the $MASK token airdrop, driving a sharp increase in market optimism and prices.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and Perps Launch Fuel Token Speculation
June 30 surges to 71%21%
The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and MetaMask Perps in October 2025, alongside the discovery of a password-protected claim domain, sparked intense speculation about an upcoming token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Launches Fueling MASK Token Speculation
June 30 surges to 78%28%
The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and the discovery of a password-protected claim domain triggered a sharp rise in prediction market odds for a near-term token launch.
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