Russian forces reported capturing the village of Moskovka in Ukraine’s Kharkiv Oblast in June 2026, describing it as a suburb of Kupyansk and an initial step in renewed pressure on that defensive hub. This aligns with broader patterns of incremental Russian advances and small-unit infiltrations across eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk and Kharkiv sectors amid high attrition and largely static front lines. Trader pricing on related resolution dates appears to reflect the pace of these localized gains, Ukrainian defensive adaptations, and reliance on independent mapping sources such as the Institute for the Study of War for confirmation of territorial control. No major diplomatic or force posture shifts have been announced that would alter the immediate trajectory before late summer deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill Russia enter Moskovka by...?
Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?
$100,409 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа
2%
30 сентября
29%
31 октября
29%
$100,409 Объем
31 августа
$28,324 Объем
2%
30 сентября
$129 Объем
29%
31 октября
$82 Объем
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Moskovka, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.729536° N, 37.568362° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces reported capturing the village of Moskovka in Ukraine’s Kharkiv Oblast in June 2026, describing it as a suburb of Kupyansk and an initial step in renewed pressure on that defensive hub. This aligns with broader patterns of incremental Russian advances and small-unit infiltrations across eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk and Kharkiv sectors amid high attrition and largely static front lines. Trader pricing on related resolution dates appears to reflect the pace of these localized gains, Ukrainian defensive adaptations, and reliance on independent mapping sources such as the Institute for the Study of War for confirmation of territorial control. No major diplomatic or force posture shifts have been announced that would alter the immediate trajectory before late summer deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Moskovka, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.729536° N, 37.568362° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Объем
$100,409Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Moskovka, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.729536° N, 37.568362° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces reported capturing the village of Moskovka in Ukraine’s Kharkiv Oblast in June 2026, describing it as a suburb of Kupyansk and an initial step in renewed pressure on that defensive hub. This aligns with broader patterns of incremental Russian advances and small-unit infiltrations across eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk and Kharkiv sectors amid high attrition and largely static front lines. Trader pricing on related resolution dates appears to reflect the pace of these localized gains, Ukrainian defensive adaptations, and reliance on independent mapping sources such as the Institute for the Study of War for confirmation of territorial control. No major diplomatic or force posture shifts have been announced that would alter the immediate trajectory before late summer deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Moskovka, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.729536° N, 37.568362° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Объем
$100,409Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Russian forces reported capturing the village of Moskovka in Ukraine’s Kharkiv Oblast in June 2026, describing it as a suburb of Kupyansk and an initial step in renewed pressure on that defensive hub. This aligns with broader patterns of incremental Russian advances and small-unit infiltrations across eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk and Kharkiv sectors amid high attrition and largely static front lines. Trader pricing on related resolution dates appears to reflect the pace of these localized gains, Ukrainian defensive adaptations, and reliance on independent mapping sources such as the Institute for the Study of War for confirmation of territorial control. No major diplomatic or force posture shifts have been announced that would alter the immediate trajectory before late summer deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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