The current market reflects trader assessment of AFC teams' relative squad depth, recent qualifying form, and historical World Cup records heading into the 2026 finals. Qatar, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq sit near the top of probabilities due to their mid-table finishes in the third-round groups, inconsistent results against stronger opposition, and limited depth compared with established sides. Uzbekistan's debut appearance and Australia's mixed group-stage showing also factor into their elevated shares. Stronger historical performers such as Japan, South Korea, and Iran carry lower implied probabilities given deeper squads and better recent results. With the tournament opening imminently and no major late injuries reported, outcomes hinge on group-stage matchups and the ability of lower-ranked qualifiers to avoid early elimination.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧемпионат мира: худшая страна АФК
Qatar 40%
Jordan 30%
Saudi Arabia 30%
Iraq 27%
Australia
22%
Iran
14%
Iraq
27%
Japan
22%
Jordan
30%
Qatar
30%
Saudi Arabia
30%
South Korea
23%
Uzbekistan
24%
Qatar 40%
Jordan 30%
Saudi Arabia 30%
Iraq 27%
Australia
22%
Iran
14%
Iraq
27%
Japan
22%
Jordan
30%
Qatar
30%
Saudi Arabia
30%
South Korea
23%
Uzbekistan
24%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The current market reflects trader assessment of AFC teams' relative squad depth, recent qualifying form, and historical World Cup records heading into the 2026 finals. Qatar, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq sit near the top of probabilities due to their mid-table finishes in the third-round groups, inconsistent results against stronger opposition, and limited depth compared with established sides. Uzbekistan's debut appearance and Australia's mixed group-stage showing also factor into their elevated shares. Stronger historical performers such as Japan, South Korea, and Iran carry lower implied probabilities given deeper squads and better recent results. With the tournament opening imminently and no major late injuries reported, outcomes hinge on group-stage matchups and the ability of lower-ranked qualifiers to avoid early elimination.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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