The competitive nonpartisan primary between incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has kept voter engagement elevated while historical patterns in Alaska's low-turnout primaries create offsetting uncertainty. Recent polling averages showed the race within a few points, sustaining interest across partisan and independent voters ahead of the August 18 top-four contest that advances candidates to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. Early voting participation, weather conditions on Election Day, and mobilization efforts by both campaigns have produced mixed signals on total ballots cast. With multiple turnout brackets trading within a narrow range, final certified vote counts from rural precincts and any late adjustments to participation estimates remain the key variables that could widen spreads.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
275K-290K 44%
245K-260K 43%
260K-275K 43%
<230K 41%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<230K
41%
230K-245K
40%
245K-260K
43%
260K-275K
43%
275K-290K
44%
290K-305K
41%
305K-320K
41%
320K+
41%
275K-290K 44%
245K-260K 43%
260K-275K 43%
<230K 41%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<230K
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
230K-245K
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
245K-260K
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
260K-275K
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
275K-290K
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
290K-305K
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
305K-320K
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
320K+
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive nonpartisan primary between incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has kept voter engagement elevated while historical patterns in Alaska's low-turnout primaries create offsetting uncertainty. Recent polling averages showed the race within a few points, sustaining interest across partisan and independent voters ahead of the August 18 top-four contest that advances candidates to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. Early voting participation, weather conditions on Election Day, and mobilization efforts by both campaigns have produced mixed signals on total ballots cast. With multiple turnout brackets trading within a narrow range, final certified vote counts from rural precincts and any late adjustments to participation estimates remain the key variables that could widen spreads.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive nonpartisan primary between incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has kept voter engagement elevated while historical patterns in Alaska's low-turnout primaries create offsetting uncertainty. Recent polling averages showed the race within a few points, sustaining interest across partisan and independent voters ahead of the August 18 top-four contest that advances candidates to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. Early voting participation, weather conditions on Election Day, and mobilization efforts by both campaigns have produced mixed signals on total ballots cast. With multiple turnout brackets trading within a narrow range, final certified vote counts from rural precincts and any late adjustments to participation estimates remain the key variables that could widen spreads.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive nonpartisan primary between incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has kept voter engagement elevated while historical patterns in Alaska's low-turnout primaries create offsetting uncertainty. Recent polling averages showed the race within a few points, sustaining interest across partisan and independent voters ahead of the August 18 top-four contest that advances candidates to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. Early voting participation, weather conditions on Election Day, and mobilization efforts by both campaigns have produced mixed signals on total ballots cast. With multiple turnout brackets trading within a narrow range, final certified vote counts from rural precincts and any late adjustments to participation estimates remain the key variables that could widen spreads.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
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