Javier Milei, the incumbent president, holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Argentine presidential election due to consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios and stronger re-election floors for La Libertad Avanza compared to fragmented opposition forces. Recent national surveys from mid-2026 show Milei capturing 29-38% support against Axel Kicillof's 15-32%, with the gap narrowing or reversing in runoff matchups amid high undecided and blank vote shares. Kicillof's positioning as the leading Peronist contender reflects his strong base in Buenos Aires Province, though internal party divisions and lower rejection thresholds for alternatives like Sergio Massa or Myriam Bregman limit his ceiling. Legislative pushes for electoral reforms, ongoing economic stabilization efforts, and coalition-building talks with center-right groups have reinforced Milei's frontrunner status while highlighting the race's sensitivity to approval trends and primary outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier Milei 51%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 6.1%
Myriam Bregman 3.8%
$609,282 ปริมาณ
$609,282 ปริมาณ
Javier Milei
51%
Axel Kicillof
40%
Sergio Massa
6%
Myriam Bregman
4%
Dante Gebel
2%
Juan Grabois
1%
Mauricio Macri
<1%
Esteban Bullrich
<1%
Facundo Manes
<1%
Victoria Villarruel
<1%
Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Javier Milei 51%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 6.1%
Myriam Bregman 3.8%
$609,282 ปริมาณ
$609,282 ปริมาณ
Javier Milei
51%
Axel Kicillof
40%
Sergio Massa
6%
Myriam Bregman
4%
Dante Gebel
2%
Juan Grabois
1%
Mauricio Macri
<1%
Esteban Bullrich
<1%
Facundo Manes
<1%
Victoria Villarruel
<1%
Juan Schiaretti
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei, the incumbent president, holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Argentine presidential election due to consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios and stronger re-election floors for La Libertad Avanza compared to fragmented opposition forces. Recent national surveys from mid-2026 show Milei capturing 29-38% support against Axel Kicillof's 15-32%, with the gap narrowing or reversing in runoff matchups amid high undecided and blank vote shares. Kicillof's positioning as the leading Peronist contender reflects his strong base in Buenos Aires Province, though internal party divisions and lower rejection thresholds for alternatives like Sergio Massa or Myriam Bregman limit his ceiling. Legislative pushes for electoral reforms, ongoing economic stabilization efforts, and coalition-building talks with center-right groups have reinforced Milei's frontrunner status while highlighting the race's sensitivity to approval trends and primary outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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