Recent polls show a tight three-way contest for first and second place among Die Linke, CDU, and AfD in the September 20 Berlin state election, leaving AfD, Grüne, and occasionally CDU as the most plausible contenders for third. AfD holds the highest implied probability for third amid stable but competitive support near 18 percent, while Grüne trails slightly behind the top trio and CDU faces pressure to finish higher. The SPD’s weaker polling around 13 percent reduces its third-place prospects, and smaller parties remain marginal. Final-week turnout shifts, candidate visibility, and any late polling movements among the leading parties could still reorder the middle rankings before votes are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAfD 38%
Grüne 28%
CDU 27%
Linke 9%
$24,882 ปริมาณ
$24,882 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
38%
Grüne
28%
CDU
27%
Linke
9%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 38%
Grüne 28%
CDU 27%
Linke 9%
$24,882 ปริมาณ
$24,882 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$6,086 ปริมาณ
38%
Grüne
$3,894 ปริมาณ
28%
CDU
$6,201 ปริมาณ
27%
Linke
$4,838 ปริมาณ
9%
SPD
$1,567 ปริมาณ
3%
FDP
$888 ปริมาณ
<1%
FW
$620 ปริมาณ
<1%
BSW
$789 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show a tight three-way contest for first and second place among Die Linke, CDU, and AfD in the September 20 Berlin state election, leaving AfD, Grüne, and occasionally CDU as the most plausible contenders for third. AfD holds the highest implied probability for third amid stable but competitive support near 18 percent, while Grüne trails slightly behind the top trio and CDU faces pressure to finish higher. The SPD’s weaker polling around 13 percent reduces its third-place prospects, and smaller parties remain marginal. Final-week turnout shifts, candidate visibility, and any late polling movements among the leading parties could still reorder the middle rankings before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,882วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show a tight three-way contest for first and second place among Die Linke, CDU, and AfD in the September 20 Berlin state election, leaving AfD, Grüne, and occasionally CDU as the most plausible contenders for third. AfD holds the highest implied probability for third amid stable but competitive support near 18 percent, while Grüne trails slightly behind the top trio and CDU faces pressure to finish higher. The SPD’s weaker polling around 13 percent reduces its third-place prospects, and smaller parties remain marginal. Final-week turnout shifts, candidate visibility, and any late polling movements among the leading parties could still reorder the middle rankings before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,882วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show a tight three-way contest for first and second place among Die Linke, CDU, and AfD in the September 20 Berlin state election, leaving AfD, Grüne, and occasionally CDU as the most plausible contenders for third. AfD holds the highest implied probability for third amid stable but competitive support near 18 percent, while Grüne trails slightly behind the top trio and CDU faces pressure to finish higher. The SPD’s weaker polling around 13 percent reduces its third-place prospects, and smaller parties remain marginal. Final-week turnout shifts, candidate visibility, and any late polling movements among the leading parties could still reorder the middle rankings before votes are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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