Recent polls from mid-September 2026 show Die Linke and the CDU in a near-tie for first place at 20-23%, with AfD close behind at 17-18% and the Greens and SPD trailing further. This narrow contest among the top contenders underpins trader emphasis on slim victory margins of 0-2% or 2-5% for Linke or AfD. The CDU's leadership transition after Kai Wegner's withdrawal, combined with Linke's sustained gains since the 2023 repeat election, has kept the race volatile heading into the September 20 vote. Fragmented results and coalition math further support the pricing of small edges rather than decisive leads for any single party.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLinke 0-2% 44%
Linke 2-5% 23%
AfD 0-2% 23%
AfD 2-5% 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
Linke 0-2%
44%
Linke 2-5%
23%
Linke 5-10%
17%
Linke 10%+
16%
CDU 0-2%
19%
CDU 2-5%
19%
CDU 5-10%
7%
CDU 10%+
7%
AfD 0-2%
23%
AfD 2-5%
22%
AfD 5%+
18%
Another party wins
9%
Linke 0-2% 44%
Linke 2-5% 23%
AfD 0-2% 23%
AfD 2-5% 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
Linke 0-2%
$20 ปริมาณ
44%
Linke 2-5%
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
Linke 5-10%
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
Linke 10%+
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
CDU 0-2%
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
CDU 2-5%
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
CDU 5-10%
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
CDU 10%+
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
AfD 0-2%
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
AfD 2-5%
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
AfD 5%+
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
Another party wins
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls from mid-September 2026 show Die Linke and the CDU in a near-tie for first place at 20-23%, with AfD close behind at 17-18% and the Greens and SPD trailing further. This narrow contest among the top contenders underpins trader emphasis on slim victory margins of 0-2% or 2-5% for Linke or AfD. The CDU's leadership transition after Kai Wegner's withdrawal, combined with Linke's sustained gains since the 2023 repeat election, has kept the race volatile heading into the September 20 vote. Fragmented results and coalition math further support the pricing of small edges rather than decisive leads for any single party.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls from mid-September 2026 show Die Linke and the CDU in a near-tie for first place at 20-23%, with AfD close behind at 17-18% and the Greens and SPD trailing further. This narrow contest among the top contenders underpins trader emphasis on slim victory margins of 0-2% or 2-5% for Linke or AfD. The CDU's leadership transition after Kai Wegner's withdrawal, combined with Linke's sustained gains since the 2023 repeat election, has kept the race volatile heading into the September 20 vote. Fragmented results and coalition math further support the pricing of small edges rather than decisive leads for any single party.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from mid-September 2026 show Die Linke and the CDU in a near-tie for first place at 20-23%, with AfD close behind at 17-18% and the Greens and SPD trailing further. This narrow contest among the top contenders underpins trader emphasis on slim victory margins of 0-2% or 2-5% for Linke or AfD. The CDU's leadership transition after Kai Wegner's withdrawal, combined with Linke's sustained gains since the 2023 repeat election, has kept the race volatile heading into the September 20 vote. Fragmented results and coalition math further support the pricing of small edges rather than decisive leads for any single party.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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