Traders see a tight contest for the top spot on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard on June 13, with “Other” holding a slim edge over the claude-opus-4-6-thinking variant. The primary driver is the rapid iteration among frontier models: Anthropic’s recent Claude Opus 4.8 release strengthened its coding and agentic capabilities, yet Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and GPT-5.5 variants continue to post competitive scores on reasoning and multimodal benchmarks. This parity leaves room for last-minute leaderboard shifts driven by new Arena data or undisclosed updates, keeping implied probabilities closely matched and underscoring the fluid nature of current large language model performance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOther 61.3%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 47.9%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
$23,163 ปริมาณ
$23,163 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
Other
55%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
48%
claude-opus-4-6
<1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
<1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
<1%
gemini-3.5-flash
<1%
Other 61.3%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 47.9%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
$23,163 ปริมาณ
$23,163 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
Other
$9,581 ปริมาณ
55%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$7,382 ปริมาณ
48%
claude-opus-4-6
$3,806 ปริมาณ
<1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
$681 ปริมาณ
<1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$1,090 ปริมาณ
<1%
gemini-3.5-flash
$858 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders see a tight contest for the top spot on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard on June 13, with “Other” holding a slim edge over the claude-opus-4-6-thinking variant. The primary driver is the rapid iteration among frontier models: Anthropic’s recent Claude Opus 4.8 release strengthened its coding and agentic capabilities, yet Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and GPT-5.5 variants continue to post competitive scores on reasoning and multimodal benchmarks. This parity leaves room for last-minute leaderboard shifts driven by new Arena data or undisclosed updates, keeping implied probabilities closely matched and underscoring the fluid nature of current large language model performance.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,163วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders see a tight contest for the top spot on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard on June 13, with “Other” holding a slim edge over the claude-opus-4-6-thinking variant. The primary driver is the rapid iteration among frontier models: Anthropic’s recent Claude Opus 4.8 release strengthened its coding and agentic capabilities, yet Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and GPT-5.5 variants continue to post competitive scores on reasoning and multimodal benchmarks. This parity leaves room for last-minute leaderboard shifts driven by new Arena data or undisclosed updates, keeping implied probabilities closely matched and underscoring the fluid nature of current large language model performance.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,163วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight contest for the top spot on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard on June 13, with “Other” holding a slim edge over the claude-opus-4-6-thinking variant. The primary driver is the rapid iteration among frontier models: Anthropic’s recent Claude Opus 4.8 release strengthened its coding and agentic capabilities, yet Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and GPT-5.5 variants continue to post competitive scores on reasoning and multimodal benchmarks. This parity leaves room for last-minute leaderboard shifts driven by new Arena data or undisclosed updates, keeping implied probabilities closely matched and underscoring the fluid nature of current large language model performance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย