Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for The Elder Scrolls VI releasing by December 31, 2026, driven by Bethesda Game Studios' recent confirmation of early full-production status following Starfield's post-launch support. Todd Howard emphasized in March 2026 interviews that the studio—now prioritizing the massive open-world RPG—is taking its time for quality, echoing the developer's history of extended cycles like Skyrim's five-year timeline since the 2018 teaser. With no new trailers, platforms, or windows announced amid Xbox showcases in April, the eight-month runway leaves insurmountable barriers. An upset would require an unprecedented surprise reveal and accelerated polish at upcoming events like Summer Game Fest, though historical precedents make this improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วElder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for The Elder Scrolls VI releasing by December 31, 2026, driven by Bethesda Game Studios' recent confirmation of early full-production status following Starfield's post-launch support. Todd Howard emphasized in March 2026 interviews that the studio—now prioritizing the massive open-world RPG—is taking its time for quality, echoing the developer's history of extended cycles like Skyrim's five-year timeline since the 2018 teaser. With no new trailers, platforms, or windows announced amid Xbox showcases in April, the eight-month runway leaves insurmountable barriers. An upset would require an unprecedented surprise reveal and accelerated polish at upcoming events like Summer Game Fest, though historical precedents make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for The Elder Scrolls VI releasing by December 31, 2026, driven by Bethesda Game Studios' recent confirmation of early full-production status following Starfield's post-launch support. Todd Howard emphasized in March 2026 interviews that the studio—now prioritizing the massive open-world RPG—is taking its time for quality, echoing the developer's history of extended cycles like Skyrim's five-year timeline since the 2018 teaser. With no new trailers, platforms, or windows announced amid Xbox showcases in April, the eight-month runway leaves insurmountable barriers. An upset would require an unprecedented surprise reveal and accelerated polish at upcoming events like Summer Game Fest, though historical precedents make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for The Elder Scrolls VI releasing by December 31, 2026, driven by Bethesda Game Studios' recent confirmation of early full-production status following Starfield's post-launch support. Todd Howard emphasized in March 2026 interviews that the studio—now prioritizing the massive open-world RPG—is taking its time for quality, echoing the developer's history of extended cycles like Skyrim's five-year timeline since the 2018 teaser. With no new trailers, platforms, or windows announced amid Xbox showcases in April, the eight-month runway leaves insurmountable barriers. An upset would require an unprecedented surprise reveal and accelerated polish at upcoming events like Summer Game Fest, though historical precedents make this improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย