The crowded field for the two Espírito Santo Senate seats keeps the contest for second place tightly contested, as recent July 2026 polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Renato Casagrande leading while a fragmented group—including Paulo Hartung, Sergio Meneguelli, Maguinha Malta, and others—clusters behind with no clear frontrunner for the remaining spot. Traders' probabilities reflect this uncertainty and the absence of decisive momentum shifts, with many candidates priced near parity amid low name recognition and high undecided shares. Key factors sustaining the balance include ongoing candidate registrations, limited differentiation in voter surveys, and the state's multi-seat system that rewards broad but shallow support. Upcoming campaign events, alliance formations, or additional state-level polling could widen gaps by clarifying second-place positioning before October voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRenato Casagrande 47%
Sergio Meneguelli 47%
Rose de Freitas 46%
Leonardo Monjardim 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
47%
Sergio Meneguelli
47%
Rose de Freitas
46%
Leonardo Monjardim
45%
Maguinha Malta
44%
Professor Fabian
44%
Callegari
44%
Evair de Melo
44%
Marcos do Val
43%
Rodney Miranda
42%
Fabiano Contarato
26%
Renato Casagrande 47%
Sergio Meneguelli 47%
Rose de Freitas 46%
Leonardo Monjardim 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Sergio Meneguelli
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Rose de Freitas
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
Leonardo Monjardim
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Maguinha Malta
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Professor Fabian
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Callegari
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Evair de Melo
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Marcos do Val
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
Rodney Miranda
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
Fabiano Contarato
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field for the two Espírito Santo Senate seats keeps the contest for second place tightly contested, as recent July 2026 polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Renato Casagrande leading while a fragmented group—including Paulo Hartung, Sergio Meneguelli, Maguinha Malta, and others—clusters behind with no clear frontrunner for the remaining spot. Traders' probabilities reflect this uncertainty and the absence of decisive momentum shifts, with many candidates priced near parity amid low name recognition and high undecided shares. Key factors sustaining the balance include ongoing candidate registrations, limited differentiation in voter surveys, and the state's multi-seat system that rewards broad but shallow support. Upcoming campaign events, alliance formations, or additional state-level polling could widen gaps by clarifying second-place positioning before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field for the two Espírito Santo Senate seats keeps the contest for second place tightly contested, as recent July 2026 polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Renato Casagrande leading while a fragmented group—including Paulo Hartung, Sergio Meneguelli, Maguinha Malta, and others—clusters behind with no clear frontrunner for the remaining spot. Traders' probabilities reflect this uncertainty and the absence of decisive momentum shifts, with many candidates priced near parity amid low name recognition and high undecided shares. Key factors sustaining the balance include ongoing candidate registrations, limited differentiation in voter surveys, and the state's multi-seat system that rewards broad but shallow support. Upcoming campaign events, alliance formations, or additional state-level polling could widen gaps by clarifying second-place positioning before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field for the two Espírito Santo Senate seats keeps the contest for second place tightly contested, as recent July 2026 polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Renato Casagrande leading while a fragmented group—including Paulo Hartung, Sergio Meneguelli, Maguinha Malta, and others—clusters behind with no clear frontrunner for the remaining spot. Traders' probabilities reflect this uncertainty and the absence of decisive momentum shifts, with many candidates priced near parity amid low name recognition and high undecided shares. Key factors sustaining the balance include ongoing candidate registrations, limited differentiation in voter surveys, and the state's multi-seat system that rewards broad but shallow support. Upcoming campaign events, alliance formations, or additional state-level polling could widen gaps by clarifying second-place positioning before October voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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