Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 55.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their dominant qualification campaign (21 goals scored, ELO offensive average 84.2), star power from Virgil van Dijk and Frenkie de Jong, and historical edge in major tournaments despite past heartbreaks like the 2022 quarterfinal penalty loss to Argentina. Japan's 28.5% stake stems from topping Asia's qualifiers unbeaten, tactical evolution under Hajime Moriyasu with Takefusa Kubo shining (5 goals, 7 assists), and round-of-16 pedigree since 2022. Sweden's recent playoff triumphs—3-1 over Ukraine on March 26 and victory over Poland by March 31—secured their spot, fueling the 13.5% for the Path B winner amid physicality from Viktor Gyökeres and set-piece threats, though as newcomers post-2018. Tunisia trails at 4.7% due to modest qualifiers and defensive reliance. No major injuries reported in April training camps.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNetherlands 55%
Japan 29%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 14%
Tunisia 4.7%
$82,871 ปริมาณ
$82,871 ปริมาณ
Netherlands
55%
Japan
29%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
14%
Tunisia
5%
Netherlands 55%
Japan 29%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 14%
Tunisia 4.7%
$82,871 ปริมาณ
$82,871 ปริมาณ
Netherlands
55%
Japan
29%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
14%
Tunisia
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Netherlands at 55.5% implied probability to win Group F, reflecting their dominant qualification campaign (21 goals scored, ELO offensive average 84.2), star power from Virgil van Dijk and Frenkie de Jong, and historical edge in major tournaments despite past heartbreaks like the 2022 quarterfinal penalty loss to Argentina. Japan's 28.5% stake stems from topping Asia's qualifiers unbeaten, tactical evolution under Hajime Moriyasu with Takefusa Kubo shining (5 goals, 7 assists), and round-of-16 pedigree since 2022. Sweden's recent playoff triumphs—3-1 over Ukraine on March 26 and victory over Poland by March 31—secured their spot, fueling the 13.5% for the Path B winner amid physicality from Viktor Gyökeres and set-piece threats, though as newcomers post-2018. Tunisia trails at 4.7% due to modest qualifiers and defensive reliance. No major injuries reported in April training camps.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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