Recent mistrial declarations in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 2026 deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann charge, have fueled trader sentiment toward “No Prison Time” at 78.7% implied probability. Ongoing appeals of his 16-year California conviction and the pending New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count introduce substantial uncertainty, while the 74-year-old producer’s documented health complications at Rikers Island further complicate any additional incarceration timeline. These legal and personal factors outweigh the risk of new convictions in a closely watched case still shaped by #MeToo precedent and appeals court reversals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วเวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
เวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 78.8%
20-30 ปี 8.6%
10-20 years 6.6%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี 3.7%
$1,064,957 ปริมาณ
$1,064,957 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
79%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
4%
5-10 years
2%
10-20 years
7%
20-30 ปี
9%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
3%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 78.8%
20-30 ปี 8.6%
10-20 years 6.6%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี 3.7%
$1,064,957 ปริมาณ
$1,064,957 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$372,963 ปริมาณ
79%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
$139,315 ปริมาณ
4%
5-10 years
$88,560 ปริมาณ
2%
10-20 years
$168,172 ปริมาณ
7%
20-30 ปี
$211,358 ปริมาณ
9%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
$84,589 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrial declarations in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 2026 deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann charge, have fueled trader sentiment toward “No Prison Time” at 78.7% implied probability. Ongoing appeals of his 16-year California conviction and the pending New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count introduce substantial uncertainty, while the 74-year-old producer’s documented health complications at Rikers Island further complicate any additional incarceration timeline. These legal and personal factors outweigh the risk of new convictions in a closely watched case still shaped by #MeToo precedent and appeals court reversals.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,064,957วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrial declarations in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 2026 deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann charge, have fueled trader sentiment toward “No Prison Time” at 78.7% implied probability. Ongoing appeals of his 16-year California conviction and the pending New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count introduce substantial uncertainty, while the 74-year-old producer’s documented health complications at Rikers Island further complicate any additional incarceration timeline. These legal and personal factors outweigh the risk of new convictions in a closely watched case still shaped by #MeToo precedent and appeals court reversals.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,064,957วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mistrial declarations in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 2026 deadlocked jury on the Jessica Mann charge, have fueled trader sentiment toward “No Prison Time” at 78.7% implied probability. Ongoing appeals of his 16-year California conviction and the pending New York sentencing on the Miriam Haley count introduce substantial uncertainty, while the 74-year-old producer’s documented health complications at Rikers Island further complicate any additional incarceration timeline. These legal and personal factors outweigh the risk of new convictions in a closely watched case still shaped by #MeToo precedent and appeals court reversals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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