Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal saga, with no additional prison time leading at 36.3% implied probability following the April 14 start of his New York rape retrial—the third trial on charges tied to the #MeToo reckoning that toppled his Hollywood empire. This edges out 10-20 years (24.9%) and 20-30 years (23.8%), aligning with his upheld 16-year California rape sentence from 2022 while his original 23-year New York term was overturned on appeal in 2024. Recent catalysts include January reports of plea deal considerations to avert retrial, a new legal team in February, and Weinstein's March interview citing dire health at Rikers, fueling release speculation. Verdict imminent, with appeals likely regardless.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วเวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
เวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 36.6%
10-20 years 24.9%
20-30 ปี 23.8%
5-10 years 6.6%
$834,243 ปริมาณ
$834,243 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
37%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
3%
5-10 years
7%
10-20 years
25%
20-30 ปี
24%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
4%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 36.6%
10-20 years 24.9%
20-30 ปี 23.8%
5-10 years 6.6%
$834,243 ปริมาณ
$834,243 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$318,007 ปริมาณ
37%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
$93,119 ปริมาณ
3%
5-10 years
$52,055 ปริมาณ
7%
10-20 years
$138,248 ปริมาณ
25%
20-30 ปี
$177,815 ปริมาณ
24%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
$55,000 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal saga, with no additional prison time leading at 36.3% implied probability following the April 14 start of his New York rape retrial—the third trial on charges tied to the #MeToo reckoning that toppled his Hollywood empire. This edges out 10-20 years (24.9%) and 20-30 years (23.8%), aligning with his upheld 16-year California rape sentence from 2022 while his original 23-year New York term was overturned on appeal in 2024. Recent catalysts include January reports of plea deal considerations to avert retrial, a new legal team in February, and Weinstein's March interview citing dire health at Rikers, fueling release speculation. Verdict imminent, with appeals likely regardless.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$834,243วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal saga, with no additional prison time leading at 36.3% implied probability following the April 14 start of his New York rape retrial—the third trial on charges tied to the #MeToo reckoning that toppled his Hollywood empire. This edges out 10-20 years (24.9%) and 20-30 years (23.8%), aligning with his upheld 16-year California rape sentence from 2022 while his original 23-year New York term was overturned on appeal in 2024. Recent catalysts include January reports of plea deal considerations to avert retrial, a new legal team in February, and Weinstein's March interview citing dire health at Rikers, fueling release speculation. Verdict imminent, with appeals likely regardless.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$834,243วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal saga, with no additional prison time leading at 36.3% implied probability following the April 14 start of his New York rape retrial—the third trial on charges tied to the #MeToo reckoning that toppled his Hollywood empire. This edges out 10-20 years (24.9%) and 20-30 years (23.8%), aligning with his upheld 16-year California rape sentence from 2022 while his original 23-year New York term was overturned on appeal in 2024. Recent catalysts include January reports of plea deal considerations to avert retrial, a new legal team in February, and Weinstein's March interview citing dire health at Rikers, fueling release speculation. Verdict imminent, with appeals likely regardless.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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