Tensions between India and Pakistan remain elevated following the May 2025 conflict, when India conducted missile strikes on militant infrastructure in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir, prompting retaliatory exchanges and a U.S.-brokered ceasefire after four days. As of mid-2026, no major new cross-border military incidents have occurred, though both sides have increased defense spending and procurement while marking the anniversary of last year’s fighting with warnings of strong responses to future attacks. Traders assign limited probability to an Indian strike occurring soon, reflecting the absence of fresh triggers such as large-scale terrorist incidents and the stabilizing effect of the existing ceasefire. Key variables that could shift sentiment include any escalation along the Line of Control, changes in militant activity, or shifts in diplomatic engagement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วอินเดียโจมตีปากีสถานโดย...?
$953,409 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
21%
$953,409 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
21%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between India and Pakistan remain elevated following the May 2025 conflict, when India conducted missile strikes on militant infrastructure in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Kashmir, prompting retaliatory exchanges and a U.S.-brokered ceasefire after four days. As of mid-2026, no major new cross-border military incidents have occurred, though both sides have increased defense spending and procurement while marking the anniversary of last year’s fighting with warnings of strong responses to future attacks. Traders assign limited probability to an Indian strike occurring soon, reflecting the absence of fresh triggers such as large-scale terrorist incidents and the stabilizing effect of the existing ceasefire. Key variables that could shift sentiment include any escalation along the Line of Control, changes in militant activity, or shifts in diplomatic engagement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย