Recent opinion polls for Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election show Likud projected at 19–27 seats, well below the 32 it secured in 2022, placing its bloc near 52 seats and short of a 61-seat majority. Persistent effects from the post-October 2023 conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, combined with coalition strains over judicial issues and military draft exemptions, have eroded support for the party and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. New challengers including Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Naftali Bennett’s Together list have drawn voters, with most surveys showing Likud trailing or tied for the largest party amid a fragmented field. Surplus-vote agreements and threshold battles among smaller parties further complicate bloc arithmetic, sustaining trader expectations of a Likud seat decline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว91% โอกาส
$17,850 ปริมาณ
$17,850 ปริมาณ
Oct 26, 2026
91% โอกาส
$17,850 ปริมาณ
$17,850 ปริมาณ
Oct 26, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election show Likud projected at 19–27 seats, well below the 32 it secured in 2022, placing its bloc near 52 seats and short of a 61-seat majority. Persistent effects from the post-October 2023 conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, combined with coalition strains over judicial issues and military draft exemptions, have eroded support for the party and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. New challengers including Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Naftali Bennett’s Together list have drawn voters, with most surveys showing Likud trailing or tied for the largest party amid a fragmented field. Surplus-vote agreements and threshold battles among smaller parties further complicate bloc arithmetic, sustaining trader expectations of a Likud seat decline.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,850วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election show Likud projected at 19–27 seats, well below the 32 it secured in 2022, placing its bloc near 52 seats and short of a 61-seat majority. Persistent effects from the post-October 2023 conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, combined with coalition strains over judicial issues and military draft exemptions, have eroded support for the party and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. New challengers including Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Naftali Bennett’s Together list have drawn voters, with most surveys showing Likud trailing or tied for the largest party amid a fragmented field. Surplus-vote agreements and threshold battles among smaller parties further complicate bloc arithmetic, sustaining trader expectations of a Likud seat decline.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,850วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls for Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election show Likud projected at 19–27 seats, well below the 32 it secured in 2022, placing its bloc near 52 seats and short of a 61-seat majority. Persistent effects from the post-October 2023 conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, combined with coalition strains over judicial issues and military draft exemptions, have eroded support for the party and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. New challengers including Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Naftali Bennett’s Together list have drawn voters, with most surveys showing Likud trailing or tied for the largest party amid a fragmented field. Surplus-vote agreements and threshold battles among smaller parties further complicate bloc arithmetic, sustaining trader expectations of a Likud seat decline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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