Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88% implied probability for Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, driven by President Trump's March 5 dismissal of her as Homeland Security Secretary, which preempted Democratic-led House impeachment articles introduced in January over ICE enforcement controversies, including civilian deaths in Minnesota operations. House Resolution 996, backed by figures like Rep. Robin Kelly and Leader Hakeem Jeffries, stalled amid Republican resistance and her swift cabinet exit—replaced by Sen. Markwayne Mullin—rendering further proceedings unlikely under divided government dynamics. As a private citizen post-DHS, absent any South Dakota legislative action from the GOP-dominant state house, structural barriers like supermajority conviction thresholds reinforce the low-risk assessment, with no fresh catalysts since early spring.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17,347 ปริมาณ
$17,347 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$17,347 ปริมาณ
$17,347 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88% implied probability for Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, driven by President Trump's March 5 dismissal of her as Homeland Security Secretary, which preempted Democratic-led House impeachment articles introduced in January over ICE enforcement controversies, including civilian deaths in Minnesota operations. House Resolution 996, backed by figures like Rep. Robin Kelly and Leader Hakeem Jeffries, stalled amid Republican resistance and her swift cabinet exit—replaced by Sen. Markwayne Mullin—rendering further proceedings unlikely under divided government dynamics. As a private citizen post-DHS, absent any South Dakota legislative action from the GOP-dominant state house, structural barriers like supermajority conviction thresholds reinforce the low-risk assessment, with no fresh catalysts since early spring.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
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$17,347วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88% implied probability for Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, driven by President Trump's March 5 dismissal of her as Homeland Security Secretary, which preempted Democratic-led House impeachment articles introduced in January over ICE enforcement controversies, including civilian deaths in Minnesota operations. House Resolution 996, backed by figures like Rep. Robin Kelly and Leader Hakeem Jeffries, stalled amid Republican resistance and her swift cabinet exit—replaced by Sen. Markwayne Mullin—rendering further proceedings unlikely under divided government dynamics. As a private citizen post-DHS, absent any South Dakota legislative action from the GOP-dominant state house, structural barriers like supermajority conviction thresholds reinforce the low-risk assessment, with no fresh catalysts since early spring.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,347วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88% implied probability for Kristi Noem's impeachment in 2026, driven by President Trump's March 5 dismissal of her as Homeland Security Secretary, which preempted Democratic-led House impeachment articles introduced in January over ICE enforcement controversies, including civilian deaths in Minnesota operations. House Resolution 996, backed by figures like Rep. Robin Kelly and Leader Hakeem Jeffries, stalled amid Republican resistance and her swift cabinet exit—replaced by Sen. Markwayne Mullin—rendering further proceedings unlikely under divided government dynamics. As a private citizen post-DHS, absent any South Dakota legislative action from the GOP-dominant state house, structural barriers like supermajority conviction thresholds reinforce the low-risk assessment, with no fresh catalysts since early spring.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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