MLB final scores cluster heavily around low-run totals that have repeated thousands of times across more than 150 seasons, with common combinations such as 3-2 or 4-3 already logged thousands of instances. Only a handful of true Scorigami outcomes have occurred in the modern era, the most recent being the Braves’ 29-9 victory in 2020. Through early June 2026, every completed game has matched a previously recorded score, consistent with the long-term pattern. The current 94% implied probability on “No” reflects traders’ assessment that the remaining schedule is unlikely to produce an unprecedented total, given pitching staffs, defensive play, and the limited variance in run scoring that has kept new combinations rare for decades.