Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model faces ongoing delays after the February 2026 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, with the anticipated 3.5 Pro version missing internal performance targets and slipping past June and July targets despite earlier assurances at Google I/O. Recent July releases focused on lighter 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite variants to address developer feedback on efficiency and agentic tasks, while the Pro tier remains absent amid internal testing. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model upgrades, combined with Google's emphasis on agentic workflows and robotics extensions, continues to shape timelines, with traders monitoring earnings calls, API previews, and potential fall announcements for resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$460,563 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
August 7
10%
August 14
54%
August 21
78%
August 31
93%
$460,563 ปริมาณ
August 7
$75,665 ปริมาณ
10%
August 14
$38,561 ปริมาณ
54%
August 21
$24,176 ปริมาณ
78%
August 31
$35,404 ปริมาณ
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model faces ongoing delays after the February 2026 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, with the anticipated 3.5 Pro version missing internal performance targets and slipping past June and July targets despite earlier assurances at Google I/O. Recent July releases focused on lighter 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite variants to address developer feedback on efficiency and agentic tasks, while the Pro tier remains absent amid internal testing. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model upgrades, combined with Google's emphasis on agentic workflows and robotics extensions, continues to shape timelines, with traders monitoring earnings calls, API previews, and potential fall announcements for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$460,563วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model faces ongoing delays after the February 2026 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, with the anticipated 3.5 Pro version missing internal performance targets and slipping past June and July targets despite earlier assurances at Google I/O. Recent July releases focused on lighter 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite variants to address developer feedback on efficiency and agentic tasks, while the Pro tier remains absent amid internal testing. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model upgrades, combined with Google's emphasis on agentic workflows and robotics extensions, continues to shape timelines, with traders monitoring earnings calls, API previews, and potential fall announcements for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$460,563วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model faces ongoing delays after the February 2026 launch of Gemini 3.1 Pro, with the anticipated 3.5 Pro version missing internal performance targets and slipping past June and July targets despite earlier assurances at Google I/O. Recent July releases focused on lighter 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite variants to address developer feedback on efficiency and agentic tasks, while the Pro tier remains absent amid internal testing. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic model upgrades, combined with Google's emphasis on agentic workflows and robotics extensions, continues to shape timelines, with traders monitoring earnings calls, API previews, and potential fall announcements for resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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