**OpenAI’s rapid iteration cycle and the September 3 release of GPT-6 Astra are the main forces shaping trader views on a GPT-5.7+ Sol model.** Astra’s strong benchmark results in computer use, coding, and math, combined with OpenAI’s August 28 confirmation that it had begun training an even more capable internal model still improving as of early September, have kept expectations elevated for a near-term Sol-tier update. Historical patterns show OpenAI often ships point releases or tiered variants (Sol, Terra, Luna) weeks after major frontier drops, while U.S. regulatory review—evident in the July GPT-5.6 Sol rollout—adds timing variability. With probabilities clustered on the next few days, traders appear to weigh the chance of a quick 5.7 Sol refresh against the possibility that Astra marks a broader naming shift away from the 5.x line.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOn or prior to September 22 40.6%
September 23 22%
September 24 21%
September 29 15%
ใหม่
$12,644 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,644 ปริมาณ
Sep 22, 2026
On or prior to September 22
41%
September 23
22%
September 24
21%
September 25
2%
September 26
1%
September 27
1%
September 28
2%
September 29
15%
September 30
3%
October 1
2%
October 2
3%
October 3
3%
October 4
<1%
October 5
2%
No release by October 5
3%
On or prior to September 22 40.6%
September 23 22%
September 24 21%
September 29 15%
ใหม่
$12,644 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,644 ปริมาณ
Sep 22, 2026
On or prior to September 22
$2,533 ปริมาณ
41%
September 23
$552 ปริมาณ
22%
September 24
$847 ปริมาณ
21%
September 25
$788 ปริมาณ
2%
September 26
$953 ปริมาณ
1%
September 27
$953 ปริมาณ
1%
September 28
$623 ปริมาณ
2%
September 29
$888 ปริมาณ
15%
September 30
$652 ปริมาณ
3%
October 1
$578 ปริมาณ
2%
October 2
$725 ปริมาณ
3%
October 3
$774 ปริมาณ
3%
October 4
$586 ปริมาณ
<1%
October 5
$711 ปริมาณ
2%
No release by October 5
$480 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**OpenAI’s rapid iteration cycle and the September 3 release of GPT-6 Astra are the main forces shaping trader views on a GPT-5.7+ Sol model.** Astra’s strong benchmark results in computer use, coding, and math, combined with OpenAI’s August 28 confirmation that it had begun training an even more capable internal model still improving as of early September, have kept expectations elevated for a near-term Sol-tier update. Historical patterns show OpenAI often ships point releases or tiered variants (Sol, Terra, Luna) weeks after major frontier drops, while U.S. regulatory review—evident in the July GPT-5.6 Sol rollout—adds timing variability. With probabilities clustered on the next few days, traders appear to weigh the chance of a quick 5.7 Sol refresh against the possibility that Astra marks a broader naming shift away from the 5.x line.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,644วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**OpenAI’s rapid iteration cycle and the September 3 release of GPT-6 Astra are the main forces shaping trader views on a GPT-5.7+ Sol model.** Astra’s strong benchmark results in computer use, coding, and math, combined with OpenAI’s August 28 confirmation that it had begun training an even more capable internal model still improving as of early September, have kept expectations elevated for a near-term Sol-tier update. Historical patterns show OpenAI often ships point releases or tiered variants (Sol, Terra, Luna) weeks after major frontier drops, while U.S. regulatory review—evident in the July GPT-5.6 Sol rollout—adds timing variability. With probabilities clustered on the next few days, traders appear to weigh the chance of a quick 5.7 Sol refresh against the possibility that Astra marks a broader naming shift away from the 5.x line.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,644วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**OpenAI’s rapid iteration cycle and the September 3 release of GPT-6 Astra are the main forces shaping trader views on a GPT-5.7+ Sol model.** Astra’s strong benchmark results in computer use, coding, and math, combined with OpenAI’s August 28 confirmation that it had begun training an even more capable internal model still improving as of early September, have kept expectations elevated for a near-term Sol-tier update. Historical patterns show OpenAI often ships point releases or tiered variants (Sol, Terra, Luna) weeks after major frontier drops, while U.S. regulatory review—evident in the July GPT-5.6 Sol rollout—adds timing variability. With probabilities clustered on the next few days, traders appear to weigh the chance of a quick 5.7 Sol refresh against the possibility that Astra marks a broader naming shift away from the 5.x line.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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