$6,761,002 ปริมาณ
100 ล้านดอลลาร์
20%
$100M
18%
300 ล้านดอลลาร์
18%
$500M
17%
1 พันล้านดอลลาร์
14%
2 พันล้านดอลลาร์
5%
3 พันล้านดอลลาร์
6%
$5B
4%
$6,761,002 ปริมาณ
100 ล้านดอลลาร์
20%
$100M
18%
300 ล้านดอลลาร์
18%
$500M
17%
1 พันล้านดอลลาร์
14%
2 พันล้านดอลลาร์
5%
3 พันล้านดอลลาร์
6%
$5B
4%
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 8, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Market skepticism persists as OpenSea SEA token launch remains unconfirmed
As of September 2026, OpenSea has not launched its SEA token nor confirmed a launch date, leading to continued market skepticism and low probabilities for high FDV outcomes one day after launch. The market prices reflect uncertainty and delays amid challenging crypto and NFT market conditions.
Market skepticism grows as OpenSea delays SEA token launch beyond 2026
$1B drops to 15%5%
As OpenSea failed to launch its SEA token by the end of 2026, market confidence in the token's FDV exceeding $1 billion one day after launch declined sharply, with prediction markets pricing low probabilities for all valuation thresholds.
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Market skepticism persists as OpenSea SEA token launch remains unconfirmed
As of September 2026, OpenSea has not launched its SEA token nor confirmed a launch date, leading to continued market skepticism and low probabilities for high FDV outcomes one day after launch. The market prices reflect uncertainty and delays amid challenging crypto and NFT market conditions.
Market skepticism grows as OpenSea delays SEA token launch beyond 2026
$1B drops to 15%5%
As OpenSea failed to launch its SEA token by the end of 2026, market confidence in the token's FDV exceeding $1 billion one day after launch declined sharply, with prediction markets pricing low probabilities for all valuation thresholds.




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