Recent polling from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows incumbent governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and challenger João Campos (PSB) in a technical tie for the October 4 first round, with Lyra at 43-48% and Campos at 42-45% depending on the survey. These results, stable within margins of error, reflect Lyra's incumbency edge and state machinery alongside Campos's strong Recife base and PSB mobilization. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. Trader pricing for Lyra at 58.5% versus Campos at 41.5% aligns with second-round simulations favoring the incumbent by narrow margins, while the tight first-round contest and limited time before voting sustain uncertainty over whether either secures an outright majority or advances to a runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRaquel Lyra 56%
João Campos 45%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$55,026 ปริมาณ
$55,026 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Raquel Lyra
56%
João Campos
45%
Ivan Moraes
1%
Raquel Lyra 56%
João Campos 45%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$55,026 ปริมาณ
$55,026 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Raquel Lyra
$25,660 ปริมาณ
56%
João Campos
$22,986 ปริมาณ
45%
Ivan Moraes
$6,380 ปริมาณ
1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows incumbent governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and challenger João Campos (PSB) in a technical tie for the October 4 first round, with Lyra at 43-48% and Campos at 42-45% depending on the survey. These results, stable within margins of error, reflect Lyra's incumbency edge and state machinery alongside Campos's strong Recife base and PSB mobilization. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. Trader pricing for Lyra at 58.5% versus Campos at 41.5% aligns with second-round simulations favoring the incumbent by narrow margins, while the tight first-round contest and limited time before voting sustain uncertainty over whether either secures an outright majority or advances to a runoff.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,026วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows incumbent governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and challenger João Campos (PSB) in a technical tie for the October 4 first round, with Lyra at 43-48% and Campos at 42-45% depending on the survey. These results, stable within margins of error, reflect Lyra's incumbency edge and state machinery alongside Campos's strong Recife base and PSB mobilization. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. Trader pricing for Lyra at 58.5% versus Campos at 41.5% aligns with second-round simulations favoring the incumbent by narrow margins, while the tight first-round contest and limited time before voting sustain uncertainty over whether either secures an outright majority or advances to a runoff.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,026วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data shows incumbent governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and challenger João Campos (PSB) in a technical tie for the October 4 first round, with Lyra at 43-48% and Campos at 42-45% depending on the survey. These results, stable within margins of error, reflect Lyra's incumbency edge and state machinery alongside Campos's strong Recife base and PSB mobilization. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. Trader pricing for Lyra at 58.5% versus Campos at 41.5% aligns with second-round simulations favoring the incumbent by narrow margins, while the tight first-round contest and limited time before voting sustain uncertainty over whether either secures an outright majority or advances to a runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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