Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. The fragmented field, with more than a dozen registered candidates for two seats and no dominant challenger emerging, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even for second place. Recent asset declarations, party switches such as Túlio Gadêlha’s move to PSD, and ongoing coalition negotiations have not yet produced clear separation. Late-campaign events including debates, endorsements, turnout shifts in key regions, or last-minute alliances could consolidate support and move the market ahead of the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPaulo Rubem Santiago 46%
Túlio Gadêlha 46%
Samuel Timoteo 45%
Mariano Macedo 44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Paulo Rubem Santiago
46%
Túlio Gadêlha
46%
Samuel Timoteo
45%
Mariano Macedo
44%
Carlos Sant'Anna
43%
Eduardo da Fonte
43%
Mendonça Filho
43%
Gorett Bitu
43%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
43%
Humberto Costa
41%
Marília Arraes
40%
Mailson da Silva Neto
40%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 46%
Túlio Gadêlha 46%
Samuel Timoteo 45%
Mariano Macedo 44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
Túlio Gadêlha
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
Samuel Timoteo
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Mariano Macedo
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
Eduardo da Fonte
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
Mendonça Filho
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
Gorett Bitu
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
Humberto Costa
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
Marília Arraes
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. The fragmented field, with more than a dozen registered candidates for two seats and no dominant challenger emerging, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even for second place. Recent asset declarations, party switches such as Túlio Gadêlha’s move to PSD, and ongoing coalition negotiations have not yet produced clear separation. Late-campaign events including debates, endorsements, turnout shifts in key regions, or last-minute alliances could consolidate support and move the market ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. The fragmented field, with more than a dozen registered candidates for two seats and no dominant challenger emerging, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even for second place. Recent asset declarations, party switches such as Túlio Gadêlha’s move to PSD, and ongoing coalition negotiations have not yet produced clear separation. Late-campaign events including debates, endorsements, turnout shifts in key regions, or last-minute alliances could consolidate support and move the market ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April–August polling from firms like Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) consistently leading with 18–28% support, while a tight battle persists among Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), and others for the remaining position. The fragmented field, with more than a dozen registered candidates for two seats and no dominant challenger emerging, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even for second place. Recent asset declarations, party switches such as Túlio Gadêlha’s move to PSD, and ongoing coalition negotiations have not yet produced clear separation. Late-campaign events including debates, endorsements, turnout shifts in key regions, or last-minute alliances could consolidate support and move the market ahead of the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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