**Narva Trans sits at the bottom of the 2026 Premium Liiga table with just 18 points from 28 matches and a goal difference around -43, leaving it with little realistic chance of avoiding direct relegation to the Esiliiga.** Nõmme United and Kuressaare are level on 28 points in the lower mid-table, while Harju Laagri and Vaprus hover just above on 31–34 points, creating a tight battle for the final play-off spot. Levadia leads comfortably at the top, but the relegation picture is shaped by the bottom four’s poor recent form, heavy defeats, and limited squad depth. With roughly eight to ten rounds remaining before the November finish, the current points gap and goal differences strongly influence trader consensus on which sides will drop.