The Buffalo Bills hold a narrow edge in the AFC East market due to their established core anchored by Josh Allen, even with the transition to new head coach Joe Brady entering training camp. Recent previews highlight Buffalo’s favorable schedule and proven division dominance as sustaining their 55% implied probability. The New England Patriots sit close behind at 40.5% after roster upgrades and coaching stability that have positioned them as legitimate contenders, though a tougher slate of games tempers some optimism. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins trail far back, reflecting limited expectations around quarterback stability and overall roster depth heading into the 2026 campaign. Market pricing aligns closely with expert projections released over the past month, underscoring the competitive but top-heavy nature of the division.