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icon for São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

Simone Tebet 36%

André do Prado 28%

Marina Silva 27%

Soninha Francine 25%

Polymarket
ใหม่

Simone Tebet 36%

André do Prado 28%

Marina Silva 27%

Soninha Francine 25%

Polymarket
ใหม่
icon for Simone Tebet

Simone Tebet

$40 ปริมาณ

21%

icon for André do Prado

André do Prado

$20 ปริมาณ

28%

icon for Marina Silva

Marina Silva

$20 ปริมาณ

27%

icon for Soninha Francine

Soninha Francine

$20 ปริมาณ

25%

icon for Guilherme Derrite

Guilherme Derrite

$40 ปริมาณ

25%

icon for Geraldo Rufino

Geraldo Rufino

$20 ปริมาณ

21%

icon for Maíra de Souza

Maíra de Souza

$20 ปริมาณ

20%

icon for Weller Gonçalves

Weller Gonçalves

$58 ปริมาณ

21%

icon for Salles

Salles

$20 ปริมาณ

13%

icon for William Teixeira

William Teixeira

$40 ปริมาณ

8%

icon for Marcio Alves

Marcio Alves

$40 ปริมาณ

8%

icon for Petter Maahs

Petter Maahs

$42 ปริมาณ

8%

icon for Ednelson Cesaretti

Ednelson Cesaretti

$49 ปริมาณ

8%

icon for Dra. Eliana Ferreira

Dra. Eliana Ferreira

$59 ปริมาณ

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of registered candidates for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with voting set for October 4, keeps the race for first place fragmented and competitive among traders. Recent polls from July and early August show Marina Silva (REDE) and Simone Tebet (PSB) holding narrow leads in vote intention, followed closely by Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and others including Ricardo Salles, with support levels in the mid-teens or lower and large undecided shares. This dispersion, combined with the single-round system and absence of a clear frontrunner or major late endorsements, sustains balanced probabilities across multiple contenders. Upcoming campaign events and additional surveys could shift momentum toward candidates who consolidate center or environmental voter blocs.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$487
วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of registered candidates for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with voting set for October 4, keeps the race for first place fragmented and competitive among traders. Recent polls from July and early August show Marina Silva (REDE) and Simone Tebet (PSB) holding narrow leads in vote intention, followed closely by Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and others including Ricardo Salles, with support levels in the mid-teens or lower and large undecided shares. This dispersion, combined with the single-round system and absence of a clear frontrunner or major late endorsements, sustains balanced probabilities across multiple contenders. Upcoming campaign events and additional surveys could shift momentum toward candidates who consolidate center or environmental voter blocs.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$487
วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 14 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "André do Prado" ที่ 28% ตามด้วย "Marina Silva" ที่ 27% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 28¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 28% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

"São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place" เป็นตลาดที่เพิ่งสร้างใหม่บน Polymarket เปิดเมื่อ Aug 17, 2026 ในฐานะตลาดใหม่ นี่คือโอกาสของคุณที่จะเป็นหนึ่งในนักเทรดกลุ่มแรกที่ตั้งอัตราและสร้างสัญญาณราคาเริ่มต้น คุณยังสามารถบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามปริมาณและกิจกรรมการซื้อขายเมื่อตลาดเริ่มคึกคัก

ในการเทรด "São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place" ดู 14 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place" คือ "André do Prado" ที่ 28% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 28% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "Marina Silva" ที่ 27% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้