Gable Steveson's Olympic gold medalist wrestling pedigree and 3-0 MMA record have driven overwhelming trader consensus for a dominant debut win over 5-2 veteran Elisha Ellison at UFC 329 on July 11. The heavyweight prelim bout at T-Mobile Arena shifted from the main card after lineup adjustments tied to the McGregor-Holloway 2 headliner, reflecting Steveson's status as a high-upside prospect transitioning from NFL and WWE pursuits. Ellison, coming off an early UFC loss and known for finishing power, has publicly outlined a spoiling strategy, yet faces steep stylistic disadvantages against Steveson's elite grappling. Recent betting lines have settled in the -2000 to -3200 range, underscoring the market's view of limited realistic paths for an upset despite the short-notice nature of some heavyweight debuts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วThis market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gable Steveson defeats Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elisha Ellison defeats Gable Steveson at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Gable Steveson's Olympic gold medalist wrestling pedigree and 3-0 MMA record have driven overwhelming trader consensus for a dominant debut win over 5-2 veteran Elisha Ellison at UFC 329 on July 11. The heavyweight prelim bout at T-Mobile Arena shifted from the main card after lineup adjustments tied to the McGregor-Holloway 2 headliner, reflecting Steveson's status as a high-upside prospect transitioning from NFL and WWE pursuits. Ellison, coming off an early UFC loss and known for finishing power, has publicly outlined a spoiling strategy, yet faces steep stylistic disadvantages against Steveson's elite grappling. Recent betting lines have settled in the -2000 to -3200 range, underscoring the market's view of limited realistic paths for an upset despite the short-notice nature of some heavyweight debuts.
This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gable Steveson defeats Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elisha Ellison defeats Gable Steveson at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Gable Steveson and Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Gable Steveson's Olympic gold medalist wrestling pedigree and 3-0 MMA record have driven overwhelming trader consensus for a dominant debut win over 5-2 veteran Elisha Ellison at UFC 329 on July 11. The heavyweight prelim bout at T-Mobile Arena shifted from the main card after lineup adjustments tied to the McGregor-Holloway 2 headliner, reflecting Steveson's status as a high-upside prospect transitioning from NFL and WWE pursuits. Ellison, coming off an early UFC loss and known for finishing power, has publicly outlined a spoiling strategy, yet faces steep stylistic disadvantages against Steveson's elite grappling. Recent betting lines have settled in the -2000 to -3200 range, underscoring the market's view of limited realistic paths for an upset despite the short-notice nature of some heavyweight debuts.
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