Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds sole discretion to request dissolution and set an election date, with the latest possible poll on 15 August 2029 unless called earlier. Recent leadership transition after Keir Starmer’s June 2026 resignation and Labour’s May local election losses has stabilized under Burnham, delivering a polling recovery and reduced immediate pressure for a snap contest. Traders assign low odds to a call by mid-2026 or even 2027 because the government retains a solid majority, faces no acute crisis, and benefits from the “Burnham bounce” that has restored Labour’s lead over Reform and the Conservatives. Key upcoming catalysts include economic data releases, by-elections, and the autumn party conference season, any of which could shift sentiment if they erode the current consensus favoring a later vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการเลือกตั้งในสหราชอาณาจักรเรียกโดย...?
การเลือกตั้งในสหราชอาณาจักรเรียกโดย...?
$823,533 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
33%
$823,533 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
$27,274 ปริมาณ
11%
June 30, 2027
$5,111 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds sole discretion to request dissolution and set an election date, with the latest possible poll on 15 August 2029 unless called earlier. Recent leadership transition after Keir Starmer’s June 2026 resignation and Labour’s May local election losses has stabilized under Burnham, delivering a polling recovery and reduced immediate pressure for a snap contest. Traders assign low odds to a call by mid-2026 or even 2027 because the government retains a solid majority, faces no acute crisis, and benefits from the “Burnham bounce” that has restored Labour’s lead over Reform and the Conservatives. Key upcoming catalysts include economic data releases, by-elections, and the autumn party conference season, any of which could shift sentiment if they erode the current consensus favoring a later vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$823,533วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds sole discretion to request dissolution and set an election date, with the latest possible poll on 15 August 2029 unless called earlier. Recent leadership transition after Keir Starmer’s June 2026 resignation and Labour’s May local election losses has stabilized under Burnham, delivering a polling recovery and reduced immediate pressure for a snap contest. Traders assign low odds to a call by mid-2026 or even 2027 because the government retains a solid majority, faces no acute crisis, and benefits from the “Burnham bounce” that has restored Labour’s lead over Reform and the Conservatives. Key upcoming catalysts include economic data releases, by-elections, and the autumn party conference season, any of which could shift sentiment if they erode the current consensus favoring a later vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$823,533วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds sole discretion to request dissolution and set an election date, with the latest possible poll on 15 August 2029 unless called earlier. Recent leadership transition after Keir Starmer’s June 2026 resignation and Labour’s May local election losses has stabilized under Burnham, delivering a polling recovery and reduced immediate pressure for a snap contest. Traders assign low odds to a call by mid-2026 or even 2027 because the government retains a solid majority, faces no acute crisis, and benefits from the “Burnham bounce” that has restored Labour’s lead over Reform and the Conservatives. Key upcoming catalysts include economic data releases, by-elections, and the autumn party conference season, any of which could shift sentiment if they erode the current consensus favoring a later vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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