Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68% implied probability to the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index hitting $12,100 by April 30, driven by sustained secondary market weakness after January's 2-6% retail price hikes left 65% of models trading below retail. March 2026 data revealed a -0.3% overall Rolex index decline per WatchCharts, with key collections like Daytona (-0.7%), Datejust (-0.6%), and Submariner (-0.6%) underperforming amid eroded grey market premiums and softening China demand. Broader luxury sector correction post-2022 boom continues to cap upside, though end-month trading volume and risk appetite shifts could influence final positioning near resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Rolex prices hit __ by April 30?
Will Rolex prices hit __ by April 30?
$32,963 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
↑ $13,150
1%
↑ $12,650
2%
↑ $12,550
2%
↑ $12,450
1%
↑ $12,350
2%
↑ $12,300
5%
↑ $12,250
9%
↓ $12,100
75%
↓ $12,050
40%
↓ $11,950
7%
↓ $11,850
3%
↓ $11,750
1%
$32,963 ปริมาณ
↑ $13,150
$6,428 ปริมาณ
1%
↑ $12,650
$2,785 ปริมาณ
2%
↑ $12,550
$4,812 ปริมาณ
2%
↑ $12,450
$5,625 ปริมาณ
1%
↑ $12,350
$4,284 ปริมาณ
2%
↑ $12,300
$1,253 ปริมาณ
5%
↑ $12,250
$1,259 ปริมาณ
9%
↓ $12,100
$886 ปริมาณ
75%
↓ $12,050
$450 ปริมาณ
40%
↓ $11,950
$1,716 ปริมาณ
7%
↓ $11,850
$1,465 ปริมาณ
3%
↓ $11,750
$2,000 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68% implied probability to the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index hitting $12,100 by April 30, driven by sustained secondary market weakness after January's 2-6% retail price hikes left 65% of models trading below retail. March 2026 data revealed a -0.3% overall Rolex index decline per WatchCharts, with key collections like Daytona (-0.7%), Datejust (-0.6%), and Submariner (-0.6%) underperforming amid eroded grey market premiums and softening China demand. Broader luxury sector correction post-2022 boom continues to cap upside, though end-month trading volume and risk appetite shifts could influence final positioning near resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,963วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68% implied probability to the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index hitting $12,100 by April 30, driven by sustained secondary market weakness after January's 2-6% retail price hikes left 65% of models trading below retail. March 2026 data revealed a -0.3% overall Rolex index decline per WatchCharts, with key collections like Daytona (-0.7%), Datejust (-0.6%), and Submariner (-0.6%) underperforming amid eroded grey market premiums and softening China demand. Broader luxury sector correction post-2022 boom continues to cap upside, though end-month trading volume and risk appetite shifts could influence final positioning near resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,963วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68% implied probability to the Bloomberg x Subdial Rolex Index hitting $12,100 by April 30, driven by sustained secondary market weakness after January's 2-6% retail price hikes left 65% of models trading below retail. March 2026 data revealed a -0.3% overall Rolex index decline per WatchCharts, with key collections like Daytona (-0.7%), Datejust (-0.6%), and Submariner (-0.6%) underperforming amid eroded grey market premiums and softening China demand. Broader luxury sector correction post-2022 boom continues to cap upside, though end-month trading volume and risk appetite shifts could influence final positioning near resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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