With the April 21 special election three days away and early voting ending April 18, trader consensus prices Yes at 86.5% for the constitutional amendment allowing Virginia's Democrat-controlled General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts for the 2026 and 2028 midterms, reverting to the bipartisan Redistricting Commission in 2031. Recent polls, including State Navigate (April 10-13: 51% Yes, 45% No) and Washington Post/George Mason (late March: 53%-44%), show slim majority support amid high early voting turnout exceeding 1 million ballots—outpacing the 2025 gubernatorial race. Pro-amendment committees raised $66 million versus $23 million for opponents, fueling ad campaigns, while courts resolved challenges to clear the ballot despite Republican lawsuits alleging procedural flaws. GOP turnout edges in rural districts pose upset risk, but urban mobilization drives odds higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$442,000 ปริมาณ
$442,000 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
$442,000 ปริมาณ
$442,000 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).With the April 21 special election three days away and early voting ending April 18, trader consensus prices Yes at 86.5% for the constitutional amendment allowing Virginia's Democrat-controlled General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts for the 2026 and 2028 midterms, reverting to the bipartisan Redistricting Commission in 2031. Recent polls, including State Navigate (April 10-13: 51% Yes, 45% No) and Washington Post/George Mason (late March: 53%-44%), show slim majority support amid high early voting turnout exceeding 1 million ballots—outpacing the 2025 gubernatorial race. Pro-amendment committees raised $66 million versus $23 million for opponents, fueling ad campaigns, while courts resolved challenges to clear the ballot despite Republican lawsuits alleging procedural flaws. GOP turnout edges in rural districts pose upset risk, but urban mobilization drives odds higher.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$442,000วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).With the April 21 special election three days away and early voting ending April 18, trader consensus prices Yes at 86.5% for the constitutional amendment allowing Virginia's Democrat-controlled General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts for the 2026 and 2028 midterms, reverting to the bipartisan Redistricting Commission in 2031. Recent polls, including State Navigate (April 10-13: 51% Yes, 45% No) and Washington Post/George Mason (late March: 53%-44%), show slim majority support amid high early voting turnout exceeding 1 million ballots—outpacing the 2025 gubernatorial race. Pro-amendment committees raised $66 million versus $23 million for opponents, fueling ad campaigns, while courts resolved challenges to clear the ballot despite Republican lawsuits alleging procedural flaws. GOP turnout edges in rural districts pose upset risk, but urban mobilization drives odds higher.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$442,010วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With the April 21 special election three days away and early voting ending April 18, trader consensus prices Yes at 86.5% for the constitutional amendment allowing Virginia's Democrat-controlled General Assembly to temporarily redraw congressional districts for the 2026 and 2028 midterms, reverting to the bipartisan Redistricting Commission in 2031. Recent polls, including State Navigate (April 10-13: 51% Yes, 45% No) and Washington Post/George Mason (late March: 53%-44%), show slim majority support amid high early voting turnout exceeding 1 million ballots—outpacing the 2025 gubernatorial race. Pro-amendment committees raised $66 million versus $23 million for opponents, fueling ad campaigns, while courts resolved challenges to clear the ballot despite Republican lawsuits alleging procedural flaws. GOP turnout edges in rural districts pose upset risk, but urban mobilization drives odds higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย